Chesapeake Lodging Trust (Chesapeake Lodging Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)

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What is Chesapeake Lodging Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Chesapeake Lodging Trust (NYSE:CHSPPRACL.PFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Chesapeake Lodging Trust (Chesapeake Lodging Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Chesapeake Lodging Trust (NYSE:CHSPPRACL.PFD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4300 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 625, Arlington, VA, USA, 22203

Website

http://www.chesapeakelodgingtrust.com

Chesapeake Lodging Trust is a real estate investment trust that invests in upper-upscale hotels in business and convention markets and, selectively, premium select-service hotels in urban settings and other locations in the United States. The company operates through its hotel ownership segment. The firm's operations include management agreements, which includes partnering with third parties to manage its hotels; franchise agreements; and TRS lease agreements, which are intercompany agreements between Chesapeake's property-owning subsidiaries and its TRS lessees. The company's revenue streams include room, food and beverage, and other, of which the room segment contributes the vast majority of total revenue.

Executives

Angelique G. Brunner	director	C/O CHESAPEAKE LODGING TRUST, 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE 625, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Geoffrey Hulme	10 percent owner	C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
A Alex Porter	10 percent owner	C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Paul E Orlin	10 percent owner	C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Jonathan W Friedland	10 percent owner	C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Porter Orlin Llc	10 percent owner	666 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 3403, NEW YORK NY 10103
Graham J. Wootten	officer: SVP, CAO & Secretary	C/O CHESAPEAKE LODGING TRUST, 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Thomas D Eckert	director	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
John W Hill	director	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Jeffrey D Nuechterlein	director	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
George F Mckenzie	director	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
James L Francis	director, officer: President & CEO	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Douglas W Vicari	director, officer: EVP, CFO, Treasurer & Sec	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Thomas A Natelli	director	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
D Rick Adams	officer: SVP and CIO	1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401