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CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, (CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-15.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,  (NYSE:CEE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, (CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND,) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
875 Third Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022-6225
CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE FUND, INC. is a closed-end management investment company. The Fund's objective is to seek long-term capital appreciation. It invests in the equity or equity-linked securities of issuers domiciled in Central and Eastern Europe.
Executives
Bernhard Koepp director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA-LEWIS, DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christopher Pleister director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Fiona Flannery director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA-LEWIS, DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christian Rijs officer: AML Compliance Officer C/O DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Helen Delman other: Section 16 Officer C/O DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Holger Hatje director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michelle S. Goveia officer: AML Compliance Officer C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Alyssa Asbury officer: Assistant Secretary C/O DWS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christian Zugel director TWO BRIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 322, RED HOOK NJ 07701
Wolfgang Helmut Leoni director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Diane George Kenneally officer: Treasurer C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE ASSET MGMT, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Sheila Cadogan officer: Assistant Treasurer C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Kenneth C Froewiss director
Walter C. Dostmann director C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Patrick Robert Mccarthy other: Section 16 reporting person C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005

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