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Bausch & Lomb (Bausch & Lomb) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Bausch & Lomb Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bausch & Lomb's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bausch & Lomb Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.21

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bausch & Lomb  (NYSE:BLCO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bausch & Lomb Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bausch & Lomb (Bausch & Lomb) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
520 Applewood Crescent, Vaughan, ON, CAN, L4K 4B4
Bausch & Lomb is one of the largest vision care companies in the U.S. The firm was previously a subsidiary under parent company Bausch Health and it was spun off to become a public company in 2022. It operates in three segments: vision care, surgical, and ophthalmic pharmaceuticals. Vision care is composed of contact lenses, a market which B&L controls 10%, and ocular health products, which includes Biotrue and Lumify. Surgical includes a suite of intraocular lenses, equipment for cataract and vitreoretinal surgeries, as well as surgical instruments. Ophthalmic pharmaceuticals has a diverse lineup of products, including Xipere, Vyzulta, and Lotemax that treat different complications. With over 100 products, B&L has the largest portfolio of eye care prescriptions in the space.
Executives
Luc Bonnefoy officer: President,Surgical C/O BAUSCH + LOMB CORPORATION, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Andrew J. Stewart officer: See remarks C/O BAUSCH + LOMB CORPORATION, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Bailey A Robert D officer: EVP & Chief Legal Officer C/O FOREST LABORATORIES, INC., 909 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brent L Saunders director, officer: CEO and Chair 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, C/O SCHERING PLOUGH CORP, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Brett Icahn director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Gaoxiang Hu director 16690 COLLINS AVE., SUITE PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
Bausch Health Companies Inc. 10 percent owner 2150 ST. ELZEAR BLVD. WEST, LAVAL, QUEBEC A8 H7L 4A8
Sarah B Kavanagh director C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Nathalie D. Bernier director C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Yehia Hashad officer: EVP, R&D and CMO C/O APPLIED GENETIC TECHNOLOGIES CORP., 14193 NW 119TH TERRACE, SUITE 10, ALACHUA FL 32615
Frederick Munsch officer: SVP, Controller and CAO C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Joseph F Gordon officer: Please see remarks C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Ross Thomas W. Sr. director C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Christina Ackermann officer: Please see remarks C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Russel C Robertson director C/O BLCO, 400 SOMERSET CORPORATE BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807