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Atlas Lithium (Atlas Lithium) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.53% (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Atlas Lithium Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.53%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atlas Lithium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Atlas Lithium Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.53%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Atlas Lithium  (NAS:ATLX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Atlas Lithium Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Atlas Lithium (Atlas Lithium) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Rua Bahia 2463, Suite 205, Belo Horizonte, MG, BRA, 30.160-012
Atlas Lithium Corp is a mineral exploration and development company with lithium projects and exploration properties in other critical and battery minerals, including nickel, rare earth, graphite, and titanium, to power the increased demand for electrification. Its current focus is on developing its hard-rock lithium project Minas Gerais Lithium Project located in Minas Gerais State in Brazil. The company intends to produce and sell lithium concentrate, a key ingredient for the battery supply chain.
Executives
Igor Tkachenko officer: VP, Corporate Strategy 1200 N. FEDERAL HWY, SUITE 200, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Marc Fogassa director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 324 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 118, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Pereira De Aguiar Gustavo officer: CFO/PAO 433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Volodymyr Myadzel officer: Senior VP, Geology 433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Cassiopeia Olson director 2015 S BEVERLY GLEN BLVD., 101, 101, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Brian W. Bernier officer: Vice President 605 BELMONT PLACE, BOYNTON BEACH FL 33436
Stephen R. Petersen director C/O FOUR SPRINGS CAPITAL TRUST, 1901 MAIN STREET, LAKE COMO NJ 07719
De Paiva Monteiro Joel officer: VP, Admin & Ops, ESG Chief 433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Nogueira Da Silva Junior Areli officer: VP, Mineral Exploration 433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Roger Noriega director 1150 K STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20005
Peter Kristofer Goldy 10 percent owner 9903 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 187, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Sainte Valiere, Llc 10 percent owner SOUTHPAC TRUST NEVIS LIMITED, HUNKINS PLAZA, CHARLESTOWN U7 NONE
Brazil Mining, Inc. 10 percent owner 324 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, STE. 118, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Luis Azevedo director AV. JOURNALISTA RICARDO MARINHO 360, SALA 113 ED.COSMOPOLITAN,BARRA DA TIJUCA, RIO DE JANEIRO, CEP 22631-350 D5 22631-350
Paul Durand director 99 LYTTLETON GARDENS, OTTAWA A6 K1L5A4

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