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American Resources (American Resources) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.13% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is American Resources Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Coking Coal subindustry, American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Resources's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



American Resources Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


American Resources  (NAS:AREC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


American Resources Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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American Resources (American Resources) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
12115 Visionary Way, Fishers, IN, USA, 46038
American Resources Corp is a next-generation, environmentally and socially responsible supplier of high-quality raw materials to the new infrastructure market. The firm is focused on the extraction and processing of metallurgical carbon, an essential ingredient used in steelmaking, critical and rare earth minerals for the electrification market, and reprocessed metal to be recycled. The firm has a growing portfolio of operations located in the Central Appalachian basin of eastern Kentucky and southern West Virginia where premium quality metallurgical carbon and rare earth mineral deposits are concentrated. Its business model provides a significant opportunity to scale its portfolio of assets to meet the growing global infrastructure and electrification markets.
Executives
Kirk Patrick Taylor 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer 8856 SOUTH STREET, FISHERS IN 46038
Mark C. Jensen director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 8856 SOUTH STREET, FISHERS IN 46038
Golden Properties Ltd. 10 percent owner #500, 1177 WEST HASTINGS STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 2K3
Thomas M. Sauve director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 8856 SOUTH STREET, FISHERS IN 46038
Gerardine G. Botte director 12115 VISIONARY WAY, SUITE 174, FISHERS IN 456038
Michael G. Layman director 7583 WILD MINT COURT, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Randal V. Stephenson director 35 EAST 84TH STREET, APT. 4C, NEW YORK NY 10028
Taplin Courtenay O. director 9370 METCALF ROAD, WAITE HILL OH 44094
Ian Sadler director 10760 ELDORADO CIRCLE, NOBLESVILLE IN 46060
Tarlis Thompson officer: Chief Operating Officer PO BOX 606, FISHERS IN 46038
William D Bishop director 8856 SOUTH STREET, FISHERS IN 46038
James C New director 7289 GARDEN RD, SUITE 200, RIVIERA BEACH FL 33404
High Tech Fueling, Service & Distribution, Inc. other: Corporation with common owners 7135 COLLINS AVENUE, SUITE 624, MIAMI BEACH FL 33141
Goran Antic 10 percent owner 7135 COLLINS AVE NO. 1234, MIAMI BEACH FL 33141
Indrajith Andrew Weeraratne director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7135 COLLINS AVE NO.624, MIAMI BEACH FL 33141

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