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Preferred Apartment Communities (Preferred Apartment Communities) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Preferred Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Preferred Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Preferred Apartment Communities  (NYSE:APTS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Preferred Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Preferred Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Preferred Apartment Communities (Preferred Apartment Communities) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3284 Northside Parkway NW, Suite 150, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30327
Preferred Apartment Communities Inc is a real estate investment trust that acquires and operates multifamily properties in select targeted markets throughout the United States. It operates through the following segments: The Multifamily Communities segment being the highest revenue generating segment; Financing segment refers to the portfolio of real estate loans, bridge loans, other instruments, and other real estate related assets; New Market Properties segment covers a portfolio of grocery-anchored shopping centers, as well as the financial results from the retail real estate loans; and Preferred Office properties segment relates to the office buildings.
Executives
Sara Finley director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Jeffrey David Sherman officer: PRESIDENT - MULTIFAMILY 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY NW SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
Michael Aide officer: PRESIDENT - RETAIL 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY NW SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
John A Isakson officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY, NW, SUITE 150, ATLANTA GA 30327
Jeffrey R Sprain officer: EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL AND SEC. 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY, NW, SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
Daphne Bryson Jackson director 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY NW SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
John M Cannon director 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY NW SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
Daniel M Dupree director 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SUITE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Parker Boone Dupree officer: President - Office 3284 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY NW SUITE 150 ATLANTA GA 30327
Joel T Murphy director, officer: See Remarks 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Michael Joseph Cronin officer: See Remarks 3625 CUMBERLAND BOULDEVARD SUITE 400 ATLANTA GA 30339
Steve Bartkowski director 3625 CUMBERLAND BOULDEVARD SUITE 400 ATLANTA GA 30339
Gary B Coursey director
Gresham William J Jr director 1010 RICHMOND HILL DRIVE MARIETTA GA 30068
Timothy Alan Peterson director 3625 CUMBERLAND BOULDEVARD SUITE 400 ATLANTA GA 30339

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