GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » AmpliTech Group Inc (NAS:AMPG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

AmpliTech Group (AmpliTech Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 2.86% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is AmpliTech Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 2.86%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AmpliTech Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.53

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=2.86%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AmpliTech Group  (NAS:AMPG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AmpliTech Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AmpliTech Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AmpliTech Group (AmpliTech Group) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » AmpliTech Group Inc (NAS:AMPG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
155 Plant Avenue, Hauppauge, NY, USA, 11788
AmpliTech Group Inc designs, develop, engineers, & assembles micro-wave component-based amplifiers that meet individual customer specifications. Its products consist of RF amplifiers & related subsystems, operating at multiple frequencies from 50kHz to 44GHz, including Low Noise Amplifiers, Medium Power Amplifiers, oscillators, filters, & custom assemblies such as MMIC (Monolithic Microwave Integrated Circuit) and MIC (Microwave Integrated Circuit) designs. It also offers non-recurring engineering services on a project-by-project basis, for a predetermined fixed contractual amount, or on a time-plus-material basis. It also operates as a manufacturer, & distributor of cryogenic microwave amplifiers, RF designs, & applications for Wireless Networks & the future of Wireless Communication.
Executives
Daniel Richard Mazziota director C/O AMPLITECH, INC., 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Jorge Luis Flores officer: Chief Operating Officer 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Fawad Maqbool director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO and Secretary C/O AMPLITECH GROUP, INC, 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Matthew Joseph Kappers director C/O AMPLITECH GROUP, INC, 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Louisa Sanfratello officer: Chief Financial Officer 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Wayne Stephen Homschek director 535 FIFTH ST., 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Andrew Dylan Lee director C/O AMPLITECH GROUP, INC, 155 PLANT AVENUE, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Microphase Corp 10 percent owner 100 TRAP FALLS ROAD EXTENSION,, SUITE 400, SHELTON CT 06484

AmpliTech Group (AmpliTech Group) Headlines

From GuruFocus