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Aeva Technologies (Aeva Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.36% (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Aeva Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.36%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aeva Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Aeva Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.62

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.36%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Aeva Technologies  (NYSE:AEVA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Aeva Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Aeva Technologies (Aeva Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
555 Ellis Street, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94043
Aeva Technologies Inc through its Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) sensing technology, designs a 4D LiDAR-on-chip that, along with its proprietary software applications, has the potential to enable the adoption of LiDAR across broad applications from automated driving to consumer electronics, consumer health, industrial automation, and security application.
Executives
Stephen Paul Zadesky director 555 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Sylebra Capital Ltd director, 10 percent owner 28 HENNESSY ROAD, 20TH FLOOR, WAN CHAI, HONG KONG K3 00000
Soroush Salehian Dardashti director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AEVA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 555 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Erin L Polek director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Eberle Christopher G Jr director 14 E. 4TH ST SUITE 405, NEW YORK NY 10012
Daniel Patrick Gibson 10 percent owner 400 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 1200, SEATTLE WA 98109
Saurabh Sinha officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AEVA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 555 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Peter Hebert 10 percent owner C/O LUX VENTURES, 295 MADISON AVE, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Shahin Farshchi director 11740 WILSHIRE BLVD, #A1309, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Hrach Simonian director 285 RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 250, WESTPORT CT 06880
Mina Rezk director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CTO C/O AEVA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 555 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Josh Wolfe 10 percent owner C/O LUX HEALTH TECH ACQUISITION CORP., 920 BROADWAY, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010
Lux Co-invest Opportunities, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O LUX CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 920 BROADWAY, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010
Lux Co-invest Partners, Llc 10 percent owner C/O LUX CAPITAL, 920 BROADWAY, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010
Lux Venture Partners Iv, Llc 10 percent owner 920 BROADWAY, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010

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