GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Apple iSports Group Inc (OTCPK:AAPI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Apple iSports Group (Apple iSports Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Apple iSports Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Gambling subindustry, Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Apple iSports Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.42

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Apple iSports Group  (OTCPK:AAPI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Apple iSports Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple iSports Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apple iSports Group (Apple iSports Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
552 Lonsdale Street, Level 7, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
Prevention Insurance.com is a shell company. Its business is to pursue a business combination through acquisition, or merger with, an existing company.
Executives
Antonio Lococo director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO/CFO 113 ESPLANADE, ALTONA C3 3018
Copper Hill Assets, Inc. 10 percent owner GROUND FLOOR COASTAL BUILDING, PO BOX 3169 ROAD TOEN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Metroworks Equity Sdn. Bdh. 10 percent owner UNIT 604, UPTOWN 1, NO. 1, JALAN SS21/58, DAMANSARA, PETALING JAYA, SELANGAOR N8 47400
Chee Chau Ng director, officer: Chief Executive Officer LEVEL U1 BLOCK D2, UNIT D2-1-1 TO D2-1-9, SOLARIS DUTAMAS, JALAN DUTAMAS 1, KUALA LUMPUR N8 50480
Chee Chow Teow 10 percent owner K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Ee Meng Teow 10 percent owner K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Wooi Huat Teow 10 percent owner K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Alan P Donenfeld director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Secretary C/O PARAGON CAPITAL LP, 110 EAST 59TH STREET, 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Paragon Capital Lp 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH ST 22ND FL, NEW YORK NY 10022

Apple iSports Group (Apple iSports Group) Headlines

No Headlines