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New York Community Bancorp (New York Community Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-5.42 (As of Dec23)


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What is New York Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, New York Community Bancorp's earnings power value is $-5.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


New York Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New York Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

New York Community Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -19.72 -20.37 -19.53 -39.10 -5.42

New York Community Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -39.10 10.99 7.63 -0.07 -5.42

Competitive Comparison of New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



New York Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

New York Community Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,734
DDA 52
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 184
Tax Rate % 19.21
Maintenance Capex 45
Cash and Cash Equivalents 17,798
Short-Term Debt 7,350
Long-Term Debt 13,917
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 723

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,734 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 184,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,734 * 0.00% +184 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 19.21%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 19.21% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 52 * 0.5 * 19.21% = $4.99512 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 4.99512 = $4.99512 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
New York Community Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $45 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. New York Community Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $17,798 Mil.
New York Community Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13,917 + 7,350 = $21267 Mil.
New York Community Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 723 Mil.

New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 4.99512 - 45)/ 9%+17,798-21267 )/723
=-5.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -5.4158145960848-2.97 )/-5.4158145960848
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


New York Community Bancorp  (NYSE:NYCB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


New York Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of New York Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


New York Community Bancorp (New York Community Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
102 Duffy Avenue, Hicksville, New York, NY, USA, 11801
New York Community Bancorp Inc is the bank holding company. It is a New York State-chartered savings bank that operates through eight local divisions: Queens County Savings Bank, Roslyn Savings Bank, Richmond County Savings Bank, Roosevelt Savings Bank, and Atlantic Bank in New York; Garden State Community Bank in New Jersey; Ohio Savings Bank in Ohio, and AmTrust Bank in Florida and Arizona. The bank compete for depositors in diverse markets with a comprehensive menu of products and services, and access to multiple service channels, including online banking, mobile banking, and banking by phone. It is also a producer of multi-family loans in New York City.
Executives
Eric Howell officer: SEVP/Pres Comm & Private Bking 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Julie Signorille officer: SEVP & COO 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Nicholas Christopher Munson officer: EVP & Chief Risk Officer C/O NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP, INC., 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Bryan Marx officer: EVP & Princ Accounting Officer 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Lee Matthew Smith officer: SEVP & President of Mortgage C/O FLAGSTAR BANCORP INC., 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
John Thomas Adams officer: SEVP Dir. Multi-Family Lending C/O NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP, INC., 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Reginald E Davis officer: Sr EVP & President of Banking 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Ronald A. Rosenfeld director NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP INC, 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Marshall Lux director 5 BREWSTER STREET #2105, GLEN COVE NY 11542
Jennifer R Whip director 621 PUGH ROAD, WAYNE PA 19087
Alessandro Dinello director, other: Non-Executive Chairman 5300 DEER RIDGE ROAD, JACKSON MI 49201
Peter Schoels director GLOBAL AERO LOGISTICS INC., 101 WORLD DRIVE, PEACHTREE CITY GA 30269
Toan Huynh director 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
David L Treadwell director 222 S 15TH STREET, SUITE 600 N, OMAHA NE 68102
Hanif Dahya director NEW YORK COOMUNITY BANCORP INC, 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801

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