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Emmis Communications (Emmis Communications) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $ (As of Nov19)


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What is Emmis Communications Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Nov19, Emmis Communications's earnings power value is $. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Emmis Communications Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Emmis Communications Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Emmis Communications Annual Data
Trend Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Emmis Communications Quarterly Data
May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20
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Competitive Comparison of Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Broadcasting subindustry, Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Emmis Communications Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Emmis Communications's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 141.91
DDA 3.35
Operating Margin % -2.85
SGA * 25% 3.21
Tax Rate % 56.18
Maintenance Capex 1.67
Cash and Cash Equivalents 111.35
Short-Term Debt 8.67
Long-Term Debt 65.03
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 0.00

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -2.85%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $141.91 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -2.85%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.21,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 141.91 * -2.85% +3.21 = $-0.826999834 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 56.18%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-0.826999834 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.826999834 * ( 1 - 56.18% ) = $-0.36242440725216 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 3.35 * 0.5 * 56.18% = $0.94122888 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.36242440725216 + 0.94122888 = $0.57880447274784 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Emmis Communications's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.67 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Emmis Communications's current cash and cash equivalent = $111.35 Mil.
Emmis Communications's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 65.03 + 8.67 = $73.706 Mil.
Emmis Communications's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 0.00 Mil.

Emmis Communications's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Nov19 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.57880447274784 - 1.67)/ 9%+111.35-73.706 )/0.00
=

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -1.71 )/
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Emmis Communications  (OTCPK:EMMSP.PFD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Emmis Communications Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Emmis Communications (Emmis Communications) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
40 Monument Circle, Suite 700, One EMMIS Plaza, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Emmis Corp, formerly Emmis Communications Corp is a diversified media company principally focused on radio broadcasting. The company owns and operates radio and magazine entities in large and medium-sized markets throughout the United States. Its operations have aligned into two business segments: Radio and Publishing. A vast majority of revenue is generated from the Radio segment. The company generates revenue in the form of Advertising; Circulation, which includes revenues from digital and home delivery subscriptions; Nontraditional, which includes ticket sales and sponsorship of events on their stations and magazine conduct; LMA(Local Marketing Agreement) Fees; and other revenues.
Executives
Paul V. Brenner officer: President 40 MONUMENT CIRCLE, SUITE 700, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Ryan A Hornaday officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer 40 MONUMENT CIRCLE, SUITE 700, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
James M Dubin director ONE MADISON PLACE, HARRISON NY 10528
Herbert Simon other: Member of 10% owner 13d group 115 W WASHINGTON ST, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Hsjs, Llc other: Member of 10% owner 13d group C/O MELVIN SIMON & ASSOCIATES, 225 W WASHINGTON ST, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
2012 Retention Plan Trust 10 percent owner 40 MONUMENT CIRCLE, SUITE 700, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Michelle Duncan Bergman director 25 WEST ROAD, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Joseph R Siegelbaum director 40 MONUMENT CIRCLE, SUITE 700, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
David Gale director 220 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 426, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Bradley Louis Radoff 10 percent owner 2727 KIRBY DRIVE, UNIT 29L, HOUSTON TX 77098
Group, Lllp Djd other: member of 10% owner group 4221 WEST BOY SCOUT BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, TAMPA FL 33607
Family Foundation Radoff 10 percent owner 2727 KIRBY DRIVE, UNIT 29L, HOUSTON TX 77098
Defosset Don other: member of 10% owner group 4221 WEST BOY SCOUT BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, TAMPA FL 33607
Smith Management Llc 10 percent owner 885 THIRD AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Alden Global Capital Ltd 10 percent owner THIRD FLOOR, ONE WAVERLEY PLACE, UNION STREET, ST. HELIER Y9 JE2 3RF

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