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Astra Space (Astra Space) Altman Z-Score : -45.02 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Astra Space Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -45.02 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Astra Space has a Altman Z-Score of -45.02, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astra Space's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASTR' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -45.02   Med: -33.06   Max: -21.24
Current: -45.02

During the past 5 years, Astra Space's highest Altman Z-Score was -21.24. The lowest was -45.02. And the median was -33.06.


Astra Space Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Astra Space's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Astra Space Altman Z-Score Chart

Astra Space Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - - -21.24 -44.88

Astra Space Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.24 -26.84 -32.56 -31.22 -44.88

Competitive Comparison of Astra Space's Altman Z-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Astra Space's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astra Space's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Astra Space's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astra Space's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Astra Space Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Astra Space's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-1.2894+1.4*-25.8098+3.3*-2.2573+0.6*0.1056+1.0*0.05
=-45.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $77.42 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $31.45 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $131.28 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,998.20 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -89.733 + -29.746 + -14.004 + -44.893 = $-178.38 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.28 + -1.339 + 0 + 0 = $-3.62 Mil.
Revenue was 2.911 + 0.256 + 0.707 + 0 = $3.87 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $16.15 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $152.86 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(31.449 - 131.276)/77.42
=-1.2894

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1998.197/77.42
=-25.8098

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-178.376 - -3.619)/77.42
=-2.2573

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=16.148/152.859
=0.1056

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3.874/77.42
=0.05

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Astra Space has a Altman Z-Score of -45.02 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Astra Space  (NAS:ASTR) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Astra Space Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Astra Space (Astra Space) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1900 Skyhawk Street, Alameda, CA, USA, 94501
Astra Space Inc is a technology company that provides space services, including satellite launch services and other space services, based on a proprietary, vertically integrated technology platform. It offers launch services, space products, and space services to achieve its space services platform model.
Executives
Scott Stanford director, 10 percent owner C/O PERSONALIZED BEAUTY DISCOVERY, INC., 201 BALDWIN AVENUE, SAN MATEO CA 94401
Axel Martinez officer: Chief Financial Officer 418 STARVIEW DRIVE, DANVILLE CA 94526
Julie A Cullivan director 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Chris Kemp director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks 1900 SKYHAWK STREET, ALAMEDA CA 94501
A/npc Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 6350 COURT STREET, EAST SYRACUSE NY 13057
Michael E Lehman director
Michele Angelique Flournoy director 3170 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Craig Mccaw director EAGLE RIVER INC, 2300 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Lisa Nelson director 1920 4TH AVENUE #1111, SEATTLE WA 98101
Advance Publications, Inc 10 percent owner 950 FINGERBOARD ROAD, STATEN ISLAND NY 10305
Benjamin Lyon officer: See Remarks 1900 SKYHAWK STREET, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Martin Attiq officer: Chief Business Officer 1900 SKYHAWK STREET, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Adam London director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Technology Officer 1900 SKYHAWK STREET, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Sherpaventures Fund Ii Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 505 HOWARD STREET, SUITE 201, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sherpaventures Fund Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 505 HOWARD STREET, SUITE 201, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105