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Triumph Group (Triumph Group) Altman Z2-Score : 0.08 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Triumph Group Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Triumph Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.08, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TGI' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.38   Med: 0.08   Max: 3.76
Current: 0.08

During the past 13 years, Triumph Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.76. The lowest was -1.38. And the median was 0.08.


Triumph Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Triumph Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Triumph Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.98 0.39 -0.45 -1.01 0.41

Triumph Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.05 0.41 0.33 0.18 0.08

Competitive Comparison of Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Triumph Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Triumph Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3458+3.26*-0.7413+6.72*0.0782+1.05*-0.2856
=0.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,677 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $929 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $349 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,243 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -10.842 + 0.446 + -16.413 + -3.57 = $-30 Mil.
Interest Expense was -32.419 + -35.884 + -38.649 + -54.452 = $-161 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,347 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(929.207 - 349.382)/1676.582
=0.3458

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1242.917/1676.582
=-0.7413

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-30.379 - -161.404)/1676.582
=0.0782

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-670.28 - 0)/2346.862
=-0.2856

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Triumph Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.08 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Triumph Group  (NYSE:TGI) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Triumph Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Triumph Group (Triumph Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
555 E Lancaster Avenue, Suite 400, Radnor, PA, USA, 19087
Triumph Group Inc designs and manufactures a broad portfolio of aerostructures, aircraft components, and systems for the aviation industry. It serves a worldwide customer base of players in the commercial, business, and military markets. The company operates under two operating segments: Systems and Support, which designs, develops, and supports proprietary components; and Interiors, which supplies commercial and regional manufacturers with aircraft interior systems.
Executives
Quigley Thomas A. Iii officer: Vice President and Controller C/O TRIUMPH GROUP, INC., 899 CASSATT ROAD, SUITE 210, BERWYN PA 19312
Neal J Keating director C/O KAMAN CORPORATION, PO BOX 1, BLOOMFIELD CT 06002
Mather Courtney director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Patrick E Allen director 400 COLLINS ROAD NE, CEDAR RAPIDS IA 52498
Daniel J Crowley director, officer: President & CEO 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Cynthia M Egnotovich director
Kai W Kasiguran officer: VP, Controller and PAO 899 CASSATT ROAD, SUITE 210, BERWYN PA 19312
Richard A Goglia director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Wick Peter K. A. officer: EVP, Aerospace Structures 899 CASSATT ROAD, SUITE 210, BERWYN PA 19312
Barbara Humpton director 899 CASSATT ROAD, SUITE 210, BERWYN PA 19312
Repplier Colleen C director 1205 KIMBALL BLVD., JASPER IN 47546
William L Mansfield director 2301 INDUSTRIAL DR., NEENAH WI 54956
Adam Joseph Palmer director 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, SUITE 220 S, WASHINGTON DC 20004
Paul Bourgon director 1550 LIBERTY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WAYNE PA 19464
Daniel P Garton director 4333 AMON CARTER BLVD, FORT WORTH TX 76155