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Shake Shack (Shake Shack) Altman Z2-Score : 1.22 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Shake Shack Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Shake Shack has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.22, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Shake Shack is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHAK' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: 1.4   Max: 3.97
Current: 1.22

During the past 12 years, Shake Shack's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.97. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was 1.40.


Shake Shack Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shake Shack Altman Z2-Score Chart

Shake Shack Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.78 0.91 1.65 1.15 1.22

Shake Shack Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.15 1.11 1.12 1.15 1.22

Competitive Comparison of Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Shake Shack Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Shake Shack's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1061+3.26*0.0104+6.72*0.0116+1.05*0.3902
=1.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,606 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $334 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $164 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $17 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1.5 + 8.665 + 7.57 + -0.755 = $17 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.476 + -0.433 + -0.405 + -0.403 = $-2 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,136 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(334.432 - 164.067)/1605.857
=0.1061

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=16.777/1605.857
=0.0104

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(16.98 - -1.717)/1605.857
=0.0116

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(443.417 - 0)/1136.487
=0.3902

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Shake Shack has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.22 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Shake Shack  (NYSE:SHAK) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Shake Shack Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Shake Shack (Shake Shack) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
225 Varick Street, Suite 301, New York, NY, USA, 10014
Shake Shack Inc is a roadside burger stands. It is serving a classic American menu of premium burgers, hot dogs, crispy chicken, frozen custard, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, beer, wine and more. The company's burgers are made with a whole-muscle blend of all-natural, hormone and antibiotic-free Angus beef, ground fresh daily, cooked to order and served on a non-genetically modified organism (GMO) potato bun. Its menu focuses on food and beverages, crafted from a range of classic American foods. The company serves draft Root Beer, seasonal freshly-squeezed lemonade, organic fresh brewed iced tea, cold brew coffee, organic apple juice, and Shack20 bottled water.
Executives
Jeffrey Flug director C/O PENNANTPARK INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 445 PARK AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Chapman Charles J Iii director 1502 HUNTER DRIVE, WAYZATA MN 55391
Zach Koff officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jeffrey D Lawrence director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGHT DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Lori George Billingsley director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Daniel Harris Meyer director 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jenna Lyons director C/O J.CREW GROUP, INC., 770 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003
Katherine Irene Fogertey officer: Chief Financial Officer 225 VARICK STREET, SUITE 301, NEW YORK NY 10014
Randall J Garutti director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Tara Comonte officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST,5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Tristan Walker director 330 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Robert T Vivian director C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Sumaiya Balbale director 697 CALMAR AVENUE, OAKLAND CA 94610
Select Equity Group, L.p. director, other: See Remarks 380 LAFAYETTE STREET, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Green Equity Investors Vi, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025

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