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Advance Auto Parts (Advance Auto Parts) Altman Z2-Score : 2.11 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Advance Auto Parts Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Advance Auto Parts has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.11, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Advance Auto Parts is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AAP' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 2.77   Max: 3.93
Current: 2.11

During the past 13 years, Advance Auto Parts's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.93. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 2.77.


Advance Auto Parts Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advance Auto Parts Altman Z2-Score Chart

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.69 2.85 2.63 2.26 2.11

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.26 2.52 2.53 2.33 2.11

Competitive Comparison of Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Advance Auto Parts Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0871+3.26*0.3714+6.72*0.0086+1.05*0.2583
=2.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $12,276 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,377 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,307 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $4,559 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -93.047 + -64.319 + 115.183 + 59.607 = $17 Mil.
Interest Expense was -18.062 + -19.407 + -20.869 + -29.718 = $-88 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9,757 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6377.021 - 5307.405)/12276.326
=0.0871

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4559.139/12276.326
=0.3714

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(17.424 - -88.056)/12276.326
=0.0086

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2519.728 - 0)/9756.598
=0.2583

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Advance Auto Parts has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.11 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Advance Auto Parts  (NYSE:AAP) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Advance Auto Parts Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Advance Auto Parts's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Advance Auto Parts (Advance Auto Parts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is one of the industry's largest retailers of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, and accessories to do-it-yourself customers and third-party vehicle repair facilities in North America. Advance operated 5,086 stores as of the end of 2022, in addition to servicing 1,311 independently owned Carquest stores. The company's Worldpac chain is a premier distributor of imported original-equipment parts. Advance derived 59% of its 2022 sales from commercial clients, with the remainder from DIY shoppers.
Executives
Kristen L Soler officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 12200 FOX VALLEY STREET, RALEIGH NC 27614
Lee Eugene I Jr director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Shane M Okelly director, officer: Director, President and CEO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Anthony A Iskander officer: Interim CFO, SVP, Fin & Treas 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Douglas A Pertz director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Joan M Hilson director 150 THORN HILL DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086-7528
John Francis Ferraro director 9 WALNUT AVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Carla Jean Bailo director 1775 SHERMAN STREET, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80203
Jones Jeffrey J Ii director ONE H&R BLOCK WAY, KANSAS CITY MO 64105
Szilagyi J Stephen officer: EVP Chief Supply Chain Officer 15027 JUNE WASHAM ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Word Herman L Jr officer: EVP, U.S. Stores & CQ Ind. 1033 LINENHALL WAY, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
Pellicciotti William J Jr officer: SVP, Controller and CAO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Robert B Cushing officer: EVP, Commercial 1432 FREEMAN LANE, PLEASANTON VA 94566
Sherice Torres director PO BOX 20833, SAN JOSE CA 95160
Natalie Schechtman officer: SVP Human Resources 45 ROUND HOUSE ROAD, BEDFORD NY 10506

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