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Shake Shack (Shake Shack) Free Cash Flow : $-14 Mil (TTM As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Shake Shack Free Cash Flow?

Shake Shack's total free cash flow for the months ended in Dec. 2023 was $8 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $-14 Mil.

Shake Shack's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.19. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $-0.36.

During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 27.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -37.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 12 years, Shake Shack's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 86.80% per year. The lowest was -341.40% per year. And the median was -19.30% per year.


Shake Shack Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shake Shack's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shake Shack Free Cash Flow Chart

Shake Shack Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -16.65 -31.69 -43.09 -65.82 -14.03

Shake Shack Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -25.36 -14.51 1.94 -9.88 8.41

Shake Shack Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Shake Shack's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=132.139+-146.167
=-14

Shake Shack's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Dec. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=41.548+-33.134
=8

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $-14 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shake Shack  (NYSE:SHAK) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Dec23, Shake Shack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Dec23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.17733333/74.12+-0.1743
=-17.67 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Shake Shack Free Cash Flow Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Shake Shack's Free Cash Flow provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Shake Shack (Shake Shack) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
225 Varick Street, Suite 301, New York, NY, USA, 10014
Shake Shack Inc is a roadside burger stands. It is serving a classic American menu of premium burgers, hot dogs, crispy chicken, frozen custard, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, beer, wine and more. The company's burgers are made with a whole-muscle blend of all-natural, hormone and antibiotic-free Angus beef, ground fresh daily, cooked to order and served on a non-genetically modified organism (GMO) potato bun. Its menu focuses on food and beverages, crafted from a range of classic American foods. The company serves draft Root Beer, seasonal freshly-squeezed lemonade, organic fresh brewed iced tea, cold brew coffee, organic apple juice, and Shack20 bottled water.
Executives
Jeffrey Flug director C/O PENNANTPARK INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 445 PARK AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Chapman Charles J Iii director 1502 HUNTER DRIVE, WAYZATA MN 55391
Zach Koff officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jeffrey D Lawrence director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGHT DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Lori George Billingsley director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Daniel Harris Meyer director 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jenna Lyons director C/O J.CREW GROUP, INC., 770 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003
Katherine Irene Fogertey officer: Chief Financial Officer 225 VARICK STREET, SUITE 301, NEW YORK NY 10014
Randall J Garutti director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Tara Comonte officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST,5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Tristan Walker director 330 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Robert T Vivian director C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Sumaiya Balbale director 697 CALMAR AVENUE, OAKLAND CA 94610
Select Equity Group, L.p. director, other: See Remarks 380 LAFAYETTE STREET, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Green Equity Investors Vi, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025

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