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Zimmer Biomet Holdings (Zimmer Biomet Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Zimmer Biomet Holdings Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Zimmer Biomet Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Zimmer Biomet Holdings (Zimmer Biomet Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 East Main Street, Warsaw, IN, USA, 46580
Zimmer Biomet designs, manufactures, and markets orthopedic reconstructive implants, as well as supplies and surgical equipment for orthopedic surgery. With the acquisitions of Centerpulse in 2003 and Biomet in 2015, Zimmer holds the leading share of the reconstructive market in the United States, Europe, and Japan. Roughly two thirds of total revenue is derived from sales of large joints, another quarter comes from extremities, trauma, sports medicine, and related surgical products. The firm spun out its dental and spine businesses in 2022.
Executives
Syed A. Jafry director 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Sreelakshmi Kolli director C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 94131
Christopher B Begley director
Robert Hagemann director 3 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940
Michael W Michelson director 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Betsy J Bernard director 711 HIGH STREET, DES MOINES IA 50392-0300
Arthur J Higgins director C/O ZIMMER, INC., P.O. BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Chad F Phipps officer: Assoc. Gen. Counsel, Corp. Sec C/O ZIMMER, INC., P.O. BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Zuilen Wilfred Van officer: Pres, Europe, M. East & Africa 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Paul A Stellato officer: VP, Controller & CAO C/O XYLEM INC, 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Sang Yi officer: President, Asia Pacific 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Lori Winkler officer: SVP and CHRO 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Rachel Ellingson officer: SVP & CSO 345 E MAIN STREET, WARSAW K7 46580
Bryan C Hanson director, officer: President and CEO ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Aure Bruneau officer: Group President 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580