Vimeo (VMEO) Predictability Rank

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What is Vimeo Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Vimeo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Vimeo Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Vimeo (VMEO) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Vimeo Inc (NAS:VMEO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

4KS:Germany 4KS:Germany 4KS:Germany V2ME34:Brazil

Address

330 West 34th Street, 5th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.vimeo.com

Vimeo Inc is the all-in-one video software solution, providing the full breadth of video tools through a software-as-a-service model. The company's comprehensive and cloud-based tools empower its users to create, collaborate and communicate with video on a single, turnkey platform. The company derives its revenue from SaaS subscription fees paid by customers for subscription plans.

Executives

Furstenberg Alexander Von	director	C/O ARROW INVESTMENTS, 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Eric Cox	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O VIMEO, INC., 330 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Gillian Munson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O XO GROUP INC., 195 BROADWAY, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jay Herratti	director	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Thrive Partners Vi Gp, Llc	director	C/O THRIVE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 295 LAFAYETTE STREET, NEW YORK NY 10012
George C Wolfe	director	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Michael A Cheah	officer: General Counsel & Secretary	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Narayan Menon	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Shelton Jackson Lee	director	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Nabil Mallick	director	C/O VIMEO, INC., 330 WEST 34TH STREET 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Adam Gross	director	C/O VIMEO, INC., 330 WEST 34TH STREET 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Mark Kornfilt	officer: President & CPO	C/O VIMEO, INC., 555 WEST 18TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10011
Thrive Capital Partners Vi, L.p.	director	295 LAFAYETTE STREET, NEW YORK NY 10012
Thrive Partners V Gp, Llc	director	C/O THRIVE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 295 LAFAYETTE STREET, NEW YORK NY 10012
Joshua Kushner	director	C/O OSCAR HEALTH, INC., 75 VARICK STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013