Teladoc Health (Teladoc Health) Predictability Rank

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What is Teladoc Health Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Teladoc Health Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Teladoc Health Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Teladoc Health (Teladoc Health) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Teladoc Health Inc (NYSE:TDOC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

TDOC:Mexico 4LL:Germany T2DH34:Brazil

Address

2 Manhattanville Road, Suite 203, Purchase, NY, USA, 10577

Website

https://www.teladochealth.com

Teladoc Health is a virtual health provider with a telehealth platform delivering 24-hour, on-demand healthcare via mobile devices, the internet, video, and phone. It also offers remote patient monitoring programs for chronic care management. Its platform connects members with a network of physicians and behavioral health professionals. Most of the company's revenue is generated from access fees on a subscription basis (per member, per month). The balance comes from visit fees and equipment rental and sales to hospital systems. Since inception, Teladoc has primarily partnered with employers, health plans, and health systems to offer network access to their members; it has also started to market directly to consumers while expanding its service portfolio.

Executives

Daniel Trencher	officer: SVP Corporate Strategy	2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Vidya Raman-tangella	officer: Chief Medical Officer	2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Karen L Daniel	director	2801 80TH STREET, KENOSHA WI 53141
Jason N Gorevic	director, officer: President & CEO
Andrew Turitz	officer: SVP - Business Development	C/O TELADOC, INC., 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Stephany Verstraete	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O TELADOC, INC., 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Adam C Vandervoort	officer: Chief Legal Officer, Secretary	485 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mala Murthy	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O TELADOC HEALTH, INC., 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Richard J Napolitano	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	MSCI INC., 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH STREET, 49TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10007
Arnnon Geshuri	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Laizer Kornwasser	officer: PRESIDENT, ENTERPRISE GROWTH	100 PARSONS POND DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Michael Willem Waters	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER	2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Jason Eric Evans	director	310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Claus Torp Jensen	officer: Chief Innovation Officer	2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Sandra L Fenwick	director	C/O TELADOC HEALTH, INC., 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577