RingCentral (RingCentral) Predictability Rank

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What is RingCentral Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

RingCentral Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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RingCentral (RingCentral) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » RingCentral Inc (NYSE:RNG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

3RCA:Germany

Address

20 Davis Drive, Belmont, CA, USA, 94002

Website

https://www.ringcentral.com

RingCentral is a unified communications as a service, or UCaaS, provider. Its software helps users communicate and collaborate via voice, video, and messaging across all device types and all from one platform. RingCentral helps customers modernize and move from legacy on-premises systems to modern, cloud-based systems. Beyond its core RingCentral MVP solution, RingCentral also offers a cloud-based contact center solution, a standalone video meetings solution, and webinars.

Executives

Sonalee Elizabeth Parekh	officer: Chief Financial Officer	767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Vladimir Shmunis	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman	C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC., 20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
John H Marlow	officer: SVP & General Counsel	C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC, 20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
Vaibhav Agarwal	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
Mohammed Katibeh	officer: Chief Operating Officer	20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
Tarek Robbiati	director	6200 SPRINT PARKWAY, OVERLAND PARK KS 66251
Sri Srinivasan	director	C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Mitesh Dhruv	officer: CFO	34601 CASCADES CIRCLE, UNION CITY CA 94587
Anand Eswaran	officer: President & COO	20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
R Neil Williams	director	C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Praful Shah	officer: SVP, Strategy	C/O RINGCENTRAL, INC., 1400 FASHION ISLAND BLVD, 7TH FLOOR, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Robert I Theis	director
Godfrey Sullivan	director	SPLUNK INC., 250 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Arne Duncan	director	182 N. UNION AVENUE, FARMINGTON UT 84025
Allan C. Thygesen	director	20 DAVIS DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002