Netstreit (Netstreit) Predictability Rank

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What is Netstreit Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Netstreit Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Netstreit (Netstreit) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Netstreit Corp (NYSE:NTST) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

64N:Germany

Address

2021 McKinney Avenue, Suite 1150, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201

Website

https://www.netstreit.com

Netstreit Corp is structured as an umbrella partnership real estate investment trust. The company acquires, owns and manages commercial single-tenant lease properties, with the majority being long-term triple-net leases where the tenant is generally responsible for all improvements and contractually obligated to pay all operating costs (such as real estate taxes, utilities and repairs and maintenance costs).

Executives

Daniel P Donlan	officer: CFO and Treasurer	2021 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1150, DALLAS TX 75201
Mark Manheimer	director, officer: President and CEO	14631 NORTH SCOTTSDALE RD, SUITE 200, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Andrew P Blocher	officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary	7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Heidi Everett	director	5910 N. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75206
Matthew A Troxell	director	TWO SEAPORT LANE, BOSTON MA 02110
Michael Christodolou	director	2707 N 108TH STREET 102, C/O LINDSAY INTERNATIONAL, OMAHA NE 68164
Lori Wittman	director	191 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60606
David Busker	director	5910 N. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75206
Murtaza Ali	director	5910 N. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75206
Todd Minnis	director	5910 N. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75206
Tilden Park Management I Llc	10 percent owner	452 FIFTH AVE., 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Long Pond Capital, Lp	10 percent owner	527 MADISON AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Long Pond Capital Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	527 MADISON AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
John Khoury	10 percent owner	527 MADISON AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robin Mcbride Zeigler	director	44 SOUTH BAYLES AVENUE, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050