Hooker Furnishings (Hooker Furnishings) Predictability Rank

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What is Hooker Furnishings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hooker Furnishings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Hooker Furnishings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Hooker Furnishings (Hooker Furnishings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » Hooker Furnishings Corp (NAS:HOFT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

440 East Commonwealth Boulevard, Martinsville, VA, USA, 24112

Website

https://www.hookerfurnishings.com

Hooker Furnishings Corp formerly Hooker Furniture Corp is a designer, marketer, and importer of case goods, leather furniture, and fabric-upholstered furniture for the residential, hospitality, and contract markets. The company also domestically manufactures premium residential custom leather and custom fabric-upholstered furniture. Its segments are the Hooker Branded, which includes a wide range of design categories, home entertainment, home office, dining, and bedroom furniture; the Home Meridian segment includes Samuel Lawrence Furniture and Pulaski Furniture; and the Domestic Upholstery segment includes the domestic upholstery manufacturing operations of Sam Moore and Shenandoah Furniture and others. The company generates most of its revenue from the Home Meridian Segment.

Executives

Christopher L Henson	director	214 N TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Maria C Duey	director	440 COMMONWEALTH BLVD E, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Anne Jacobsen	officer: Senior Vice President	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BLVD., MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Paul A Huckfeldt	officer: Chief Financial Officer	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BLVD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Tonya Harris Jackson	director	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BOULEVARD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Beeler W Christopher Jr	director	C/O HOOKER FURNITURE CORP, P O BOX 4708, MARTINSVILLE VA 24115
Tod R Phelps	officer: Sr. VP - Operations	PO BOX 4708, MARTINSVILLE VA 24115
Toms Paul B Jr	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	HOOKER FURNITURE CORP, 440 E COMMONWEALTH BLVD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Donald Lee Boone	officer: Co-President HMI	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BOULEVARD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Douglas Townsend	officer: Co-President HMI	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BOULEVARDM, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Williamson Henry G Jr	director	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, POB 4708, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
E Larry Ryder	director	C/O HOOKER FURNITURE CORP, P O BOX 4708, MARTINSVILLE VA 24115
Michael W Delgatti	officer: President	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BLVD., MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Paulette Garafalo	director	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BOULEVARD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Jeremy R Hoff	officer: President	HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION, 440 E. COMMONWEALTH BOULEVARD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112