Euronet Worldwide (Euronet Worldwide) Predictability Rank

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What is Euronet Worldwide Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Euronet Worldwide Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Euronet Worldwide (Euronet Worldwide) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Euronet Worldwide Inc (NAS:EEFT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

EEF:Germany EEF:Germany E2EF34:Brazil

Address

11400 Tomahawk Creek Parkway, Suite 300, Leawood, KS, USA, 66211

Website

https://www.euronetworldwide.com

Euronet Worldwide Inc is a provider of electronic financial transaction solutions. The company operates an independent network of ATMs in Europe, along with a network for prepaid products such as mobile top-ups, and processes point-of-sale transactions. Euronet Worldwide also offers global money transfers, payment services and software, banking services, credit and debit card outsourcing services, and card issuing and merchant acquiring services. The largest segment by operating income, electronical financial transaction processing, mainly generates revenue from monthly ATM management fees and currency conversion transactions. The largest country by revenue is the United States of America.

Executives

Michael J Brown	director, officer: CEO & President	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Fentanes Ligia Torres	director	11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
M Jeannine Strandjord	director
Andrej Olechowski	director	WIERETNICZA 51, WARSAW POLAND R9 92200
Juan Bianchi	officer: Executive Vice President	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Rick Weller	officer: Chief Financial Officer/ EVP	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC, 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEADWOOD KS 66211
Michael N Frumkin	director	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Scott Claassen	officer: General Counsel and Secretary	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Jeffrey B Newman	officer: Exec VP and General Counsel	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 3500 COLLEGE BOULEVARD, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Martin L. Bruckner	officer: SVP - Chief Technology Officer	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Nikos Fountas	officer: Managing Director EMEA EFT Div	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Kevin J Caponecchi	officer: President	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC, 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Eriberto R Scocimara	director	C/O QUAKER FABRIC CORP, 941 GRINNELL ST, FALL RIVER MA 02726
Mark R Callegari	director	C/O EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC., 11400 TOMAHAWK CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 300, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Andrew B Schmitt	director	1900 SHAWNEE MISSION PKWY, MISSION WOODS KS 66205