Coinbase Global (Coinbase Global) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Coinbase Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Coinbase Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Coinbase Global Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Coinbase Global's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Coinbase Global (Coinbase Global) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » Coinbase Global Inc (NAS:COIN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

COIN:Mexico 1QZ:Germany 1QZ:Germany 1QZ:Germany 1QZ:Germany C2OI34:Brazil COIN:Austria

Address

c/o The Corporation Trust Company, 1209 Orange Street, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19801

Website

https://www.coinbase.com

Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage and data analytics.

Executives

Gokul Rajaram	director	301 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 700, AUSTIN TX 78701
Ehrsam Frederick Ernest Iii	director	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Emilie Choi	officer: President	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Brian Armstrong	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO	100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Marc L Andreessen	director, 10 percent owner	C/O ARNOLD & PORTER LLP, 3 EMBARCADERO CENTER 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Paul Grewal	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Lawrence J Brock	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 248 3RD ST #434, OAKLAND CA 94607
Alesia J Haas	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3333 BEVERLY ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60179
Kathryn Haun	director	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Jennifer N. Jones	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Tobias Lutke	director	C/O SHOPIFY INC., 150 ELGIN ST., 8TH FLOOR, OTTAWA A6 K2P 1L4
Surojit Chatterjee	officer: Chief Product Officer	C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Andreessen Horowitz Lsv Fund I-b, L.p.	10 percent owner	2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andreessen Horowitz Fund Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner	2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Frederick R Wilson	director, 10 percent owner