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Sila Realty Trust (Sila Realty Trust) Predictability Rank


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What is Sila Realty Trust Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sila Realty Trust Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Sila Realty Trust Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Sila Realty Trust (Sila Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Sila Realty Trust Inc (OTCPK:CVMCA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
AHTR LTC CHCT CHTH GMRE UHT DHC HLTC NHHS STRW WELL VTR PEAK OHI HR SBRA MPW DOC XBRU:AED NHI
Traded in Other Exchanges
CVMTD:USA
Address
1001 Water Street, Suite 800, Tampa, FL, USA, 33602
Website
https://www.silarealtytrust.com
Sila Realty Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust. Its investment objective is to pay regular cash distributions to stockholders and to preserve, protect, and return capital contributions to stockholders. The company owns and manages healthcare assets. The company generates revenue from real estate investments in healthcare properties.
Executives
Roger Sherwood Pratt director 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Adrienne Kirby director 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Robert Labenski officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Verett Ann Mims director 15 ENTERPRISE, SUITE 200, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Z Jamie Behar director 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Jason C. Reed officer: CIO, Data Centers 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Jamie A. Yoakum officer: CAO 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Jon C. Sajeski officer: CIO, Healthcare 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Kay C. Neely officer: CFO and Treasurer 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Robert M Winslow director 4890 W. KENNEDY BLVD. SUITE 650, TAMPA FL 33609
Jonathan Kuchin director 1001 WATER STREET, SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33602
Ronald Lee Rayevich director 4890 W KENNEDY BLVD, SUITE 650, TAMPA FL 33609
Randall Greene director 4890 W KENNEDY BLVD, SUITE 650, TAMPA FL 33609
Lisa Drummond officer: COO & Secretary 4211 WEST BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 500, TAMPA FL 33607
John E Carter director, officer: Chairman of the Board & CEO 4890 W KENNEDY BLVD, SUITE 650, TAMPA FL 33609

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