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The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHR) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is The Swatch Group AG Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:UHR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.81   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Swatch Group AG was -2.36. The lowest was -2.81. And the median was -2.66.


The Swatch Group AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Swatch Group AG Beneish M-Score Chart

The Swatch Group AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.73 -2.67 -2.49 -2.36

The Swatch Group AG Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 - -2.49 - -2.36

Competitive Comparison of The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Swatch Group AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Swatch Group AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Swatch Group AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0765+0.528 * 0.9753+0.404 * 0.8583+0.892 * 1.0519+0.115 * 1.1437
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0579+4.679 * 0.017851-0.327 * 1.0578
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was CHF924 Mil.
Revenue was CHF7,888 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF6,331 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF10,502 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF14,229 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF3,029 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF390 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF1,204 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF1,220 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF2 Mil.
Net Income was CHF869 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was CHF615 Mil.
Total Receivables was CHF816 Mil.
Revenue was CHF7,499 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF5,870 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF10,393 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF13,893 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF2,706 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF406 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF1,082 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF1,126 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(924 / 7888) / (816 / 7499)
=0.11714 / 0.108815
=1.0765

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5870 / 7499) / (6331 / 7888)
=0.782771 / 0.802612
=0.9753

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10502 + 3029) / 14229) / (1 - (10393 + 2706) / 13893)
=0.049055 / 0.057151
=0.8583

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7888 / 7499
=1.0519

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(406 / (406 + 2706)) / (390 / (390 + 3029))
=0.130463 / 0.114068
=1.1437

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1204 / 7888) / (1082 / 7499)
=0.152637 / 0.144286
=1.0579

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2 + 1220) / 14229) / ((2 + 1126) / 13893)
=0.085881 / 0.081192
=1.0578

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(869 - 0 - 615) / 14229
=0.017851

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Swatch Group AG has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Swatch Group AG Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHR) Business Description

Address
Seevorstadt 6, Bienne, CHE, 2501
Swatch Group's biggest brands are Omega (number-two Swiss watch brand by sales after Rolex), Longines (the largest premium watch brand and number four by sales globally), Breguet, Tissot (the leader in midrange Swiss watches), and Swatch. Swatch group employs over 31,000 people, half of them in Switzerland. We estimate that Swatch Group makes about 30% of its sales from Omega, 17% from ultraluxury brands, 20% from Longines, 10% from Tissot, and 6% from Swatch. We estimate Omega and Longines to be the group's most profitable brands.

The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHR) Headlines

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