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Grupo Catalana Occidente (XMAD:GCO) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Grupo Catalana Occidente Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Catalana Occidente's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XMAD:GCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.44   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo Catalana Occidente was -2.36. The lowest was -8.44. And the median was -2.58.


Grupo Catalana Occidente Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo Catalana Occidente for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0153+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9494+0.892 * 1.0849+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5023+4.679 * -0.015642-0.327 * 0.8971
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,394 Mil.
Revenue was €4,494 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,494 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,681 Mil.
Total Assets was €17,971 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €389 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €595 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €325 Mil.
Net Income was €487 Mil.
Gross Profit was €233 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €534 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,266 Mil.
Revenue was €4,143 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,143 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,186 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,273 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €413 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €41 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €14 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €715 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €328 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1394.118 / 4494.451) / (1265.664 / 4142.923)
=0.310186 / 0.3055
=1.0153

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4142.923 / 4142.923) / (4494.451 / 4494.451)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6681.384 + 388.914) / 17970.782) / (1 - (6186.282 + 412.693) / 18272.865)
=0.606567 / 0.638865
=0.9494

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4494.451 / 4142.923
=1.0849

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(41.492 / (41.492 + 412.693)) / (0 / (0 + 388.914))
=0.091355 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.864 / 4494.451) / (14.436 / 4142.923)
=0.00175 / 0.003484
=0.5023

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((325.269 + 595.055) / 17970.782) / ((327.851 + 715.231) / 18272.865)
=0.051212 / 0.057084
=0.8971

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(486.568 - 233.257 - 534.415) / 17970.782
=-0.015642

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo Catalana Occidente has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupo Catalana Occidente Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupo Catalana Occidente (XMAD:GCO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Alcalde Barnils 63, Sant Cugat del Valles, Barcelona, ESP, 08174
Grupo Catalana Occidente SA is a property and casualty company that operates in the global insurance market, as well as the global credit insurance market. It generates most of its revenue from Spain and other European countries. The company's revenue is generally split between its traditional insurance business and its credit insurance activity. Its traditional insurance business includes residential, commercial, auto, and life insurance products. Grupo's credit insurance business protects companies from the default risk associated with selling products and services on credit.