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Inpost (XAMS:INPST) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Inpost Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Inpost's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XAMS:INPST' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.73   Max: -0.96
Current: -2.85

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Inpost was -0.96. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.73.


Inpost Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Inpost's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Inpost Beneish M-Score Chart

Inpost Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -0.96 -2.73 -2.85

Inpost Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Sep19 Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 -2.62 -2.75 -2.81 -2.85

Competitive Comparison of Inpost's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Inpost's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Inpost's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Inpost's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Inpost's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Inpost Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Inpost for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9232+0.528 * 0.9955+0.404 * 0.9231+0.892 * 1.2526+0.115 * 0.9687
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.146762-0.327 * 0.9163
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €329 Mil.
Revenue was 607.376 + 471.317 + 487.514 + 454.047 = €2,020 Mil.
Gross Profit was 588.964 + 462.796 + 468.873 + 436.937 = €1,958 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €478 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,223 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,106 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €263 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €509 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,347 Mil.
Net Income was 34.974 + 57.201 + 29.24 + 26.476 = €148 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 140.787 + 149.674 + 86.213 + 97.521 = €474 Mil.
Total Receivables was €284 Mil.
Revenue was 491.009 + 385.812 + 384.967 + 351.044 = €1,613 Mil.
Gross Profit was 472.711 + 370.278 + 373.522 + 339.256 = €1,556 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €404 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,000 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €973 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €222 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €409 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €496 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,327 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(328.931 / 2020.254) / (284.453 / 1612.832)
=0.162817 / 0.176369
=0.9232

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1555.767 / 1612.832) / (1957.57 / 2020.254)
=0.964618 / 0.968972
=0.9955

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (477.919 + 1105.992) / 2223.36) / (1 - (403.722 + 973.2) / 2000.06)
=0.287605 / 0.31156
=0.9231

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2020.254 / 1612.832
=1.2526

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(222.112 / (222.112 + 973.2)) / (262.5 / (262.5 + 1105.992))
=0.185819 / 0.191817
=0.9687

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2020.254) / (408.907 / 1612.832)
=0 / 0.253534
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1347.019 + 509.352) / 2223.36) / ((1326.87 + 495.646) / 2000.06)
=0.834939 / 0.911231
=0.9163

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(147.891 - 0 - 474.195) / 2223.36
=-0.146762

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Inpost has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Inpost (XAMS:INPST) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
70 route d’Esch, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1470
Inpost SA is specialized in the provision of postal services. The group offers a network of parcel boxes, self-service parcel delivery, and collection points. It also offers services for the collection, routing, and delivery of mail, dispatch, and delivery of parcels, express transport, and delivery. It operates in three segments. APM segment is focused on the delivery of parcels to automated parcel machines. To-Door segment includes delivery of parcels using door-to-door couriers. International segment comprises Mondial Relay, which includes APM business and PUDO points in France, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands, and Portugal; and Other segments, which include APM business (delivery of parcels to automated parcel machines) in the United Kingdom and Italy.

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