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LPP (WAR:LPP) Beneish M-Score : -3.48 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is LPP Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for LPP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:LPP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.76   Max: 1.01
Current: -3.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of LPP was 1.01. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.76.


LPP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for LPP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LPP Beneish M-Score Chart

LPP Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.35 -3.09 -2.80 -2.72 -0.18

LPP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.18 -1.05 -3.32 -3.43 -3.48

Competitive Comparison of LPP's Beneish M-Score

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, LPP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LPP's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, LPP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LPP's Beneish M-Score falls into.



LPP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of LPP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8605+0.528 * 0.9767+0.404 * 0.9016+0.892 * 1.0929+0.115 * 0.9186
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8846+4.679 * -0.198245-0.327 * 0.9592
=-3.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł1,115 Mil.
Revenue was 4840.9 + 4350.5 + 4575.4 + 3639.4 = zł17,406 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2539.8 + 2426.4 + 2193.9 + 1806.4 = zł8,967 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł5,829 Mil.
Total Assets was zł13,802 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł6,888 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1,383 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł5,646 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł5,654 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł3,382 Mil.
Net Income was 483.2 + 575.6 + 438.8 + 109.5 = zł1,607 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1120 + 1097.7 + 980.9 + 1144.7 = zł4,343 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł1,186 Mil.
Revenue was 4184.9 + 4366.8 + 4340.6 + 3034.2 = zł15,927 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2074.8 + 2134.6 + 2255.8 + 1547.9 = zł8,013 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł5,569 Mil.
Total Assets was zł12,921 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł6,224 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł5,840 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł5,214 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł3,605 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1114.9 / 17406.2) / (1185.5 / 15926.5)
=0.064052 / 0.074436
=0.8605

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8013.1 / 15926.5) / (8966.5 / 17406.2)
=0.50313 / 0.515133
=0.9767

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5828.7 + 6887.6) / 13802.1) / (1 - (5569.2 + 6224.4) / 12921)
=0.078669 / 0.087253
=0.9016

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17406.2 / 15926.5
=1.0929

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1129.2 / (1129.2 + 6224.4)) / (1382.5 / (1382.5 + 6887.6))
=0.153557 / 0.167168
=0.9186

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5645.9 / 17406.2) / (5840.1 / 15926.5)
=0.324361 / 0.366691
=0.8846

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3381.8 + 5653.8) / 13802.1) / ((3605.1 + 5213.8) / 12921)
=0.654654 / 0.682525
=0.9592

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1607.1 - 0 - 4343.3) / 13802.1
=-0.198245

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

LPP has a M-score of -3.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


LPP (WAR:LPP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
ul. Lakowa 39/44, Gdansk, POL, 80-769
LPP SA makes and sells clothing, footwear, bags, and accessories in Central and Eastern Europe. LPP has nearly 1,500 company-branded retail stores, which serve as the company's primary sales channel. Brands include Reserved, Cropp, House, Mohito, and Sinsay. Reserved stores account for roughly half of the company's sales volume. Geographically, most sales are in Poland, and Poland and Russia account for more than 80% of total sales. LPP purchases most of its materials in Asia, and the company's manufacturers are primarily located in China.

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