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George Weston (TSX:WN) Beneish M-Score : -2.88 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is George Weston Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for George Weston's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:WN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.26
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of George Weston was -2.26. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.84.


George Weston Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for George Weston's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

George Weston Beneish M-Score Chart

George Weston Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -3.02 -2.85 -2.69 -2.88

George Weston Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.67 -2.75 -2.86 -2.88

Competitive Comparison of George Weston's Beneish M-Score

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, George Weston's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


George Weston's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, George Weston's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where George Weston's Beneish M-Score falls into.



George Weston Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of George Weston for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 0.9953+0.404 * 0.963+0.892 * 1.0539+0.115 * 1.0077
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0359+4.679 * -0.090476-0.327 * 1.0111
=-2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$5,509 Mil.
Revenue was 14700 + 18407 + 13884 + 13133 = C$60,124 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4821 + 5873 + 4572 + 4345 = C$19,611 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$14,936 Mil.
Total Assets was C$49,770 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$16,265 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$2,530 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$15,248 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$12,072 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$17,204 Mil.
Net Income was -28 + 624 + 508 + 436 = C$1,540 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 192 = C$192 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1513 + 2100 + 1324 + 914 = C$5,851 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$5,227 Mil.
Revenue was 14142 + 17520 + 12979 + 12407 = C$57,048 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4555 + 5606 + 4286 + 4073 = C$18,520 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$14,653 Mil.
Total Assets was C$48,958 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$15,338 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$2,407 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$13,967 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$10,757 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$17,724 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5509 / 60124) / (5227 / 57048)
=0.091627 / 0.091625
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18520 / 57048) / (19611 / 60124)
=0.324639 / 0.326176
=0.9953

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14936 + 16265) / 49770) / (1 - (14653 + 15338) / 48958)
=0.373096 / 0.387414
=0.963

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=60124 / 57048
=1.0539

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2407 / (2407 + 15338)) / (2530 / (2530 + 16265))
=0.135644 / 0.13461
=1.0077

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15248 / 60124) / (13967 / 57048)
=0.253609 / 0.244829
=1.0359

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17204 + 12072) / 49770) / ((17724 + 10757) / 48958)
=0.588226 / 0.581744
=1.0111

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1540 - 192 - 5851) / 49770
=-0.090476

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

George Weston has a M-score of -2.88 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


George Weston Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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George Weston (TSX:WN) Business Description

Address
22 St. Clair Avenue East, Suite 1901, Toronto, ON, CAN, M4T 2S7
George Weston is a holding company that controls a 53% stake in retailer Loblaw and a 62% stake in Choice Properties, a real estate investment trust. Loblaw boasts the largest retail footprint across Canada with 2,500 food retail and pharmacy stores under banners such as Loblaw, No-Frills, Maxi, and Shoppers Drug Mart. Meanwhile, open-ended Choice Properties REIT owns and manages 702 commercial and residential properties in Canada, generating 57% of its gross rental revenue from its largest tenant Loblaw. Previously, George Weston sold its wholly owned bakery Weston Foods in 2022. The firm is controlled by the Weston family, which owns a 65% stake.

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