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Oriental Land Co (TSE:4661) Beneish M-Score : -2.44 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Oriental Land Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4661' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.13   Med: -2.62   Max: 34.69
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oriental Land Co was 34.69. The lowest was -3.13. And the median was -2.62.


Oriental Land Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oriental Land Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Oriental Land Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.13 34.69 -2.90 -2.60 -2.44

Oriental Land Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 - - - -2.44

Competitive Comparison of Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oriental Land Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Oriental Land Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oriental Land Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.021+0.528 * 0.9555+0.404 * 1.0914+0.892 * 1.2802+0.115 * 1.0241
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.057149-0.327 * 0.9426
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円28,856 Mil.
Revenue was 円618,493 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円249,517 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円452,222 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,355,215 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円797,604 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円46,702 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円246,981 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円141,252 Mil.
Net Income was 円120,225 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円197,674 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円22,077 Mil.
Revenue was 円483,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円186,227 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円348,941 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,206,419 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円771,518 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円46,327 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円161,249 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円205,407 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(28856 / 618493) / (22077 / 483123)
=0.046655 / 0.045696
=1.021

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(186227 / 483123) / (249517 / 618493)
=0.385465 / 0.403427
=0.9555

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (452222 + 797604) / 1355215) / (1 - (348941 + 771518) / 1206419)
=0.077766 / 0.071252
=1.0914

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=618493 / 483123
=1.2802

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(46327 / (46327 + 771518)) / (46702 / (46702 + 797604))
=0.056645 / 0.055314
=1.0241

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 618493) / (0 / 483123)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((141252 + 246981) / 1355215) / ((205407 + 161249) / 1206419)
=0.286473 / 0.303921
=0.9426

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(120225 - 0 - 197674) / 1355215
=-0.057149

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oriental Land Co has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Oriental Land Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Oriental Land Co (TSE:4661) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-1 Maihama, Chiba-Prefecture, Urayasu, JPN, 279-8511
Oriental Land Co Ltd is a Japan-based company operates Tokyo Disney Resort. Segments in which the group functions include Theme Park, Hotel Business, and Other Business. Theme Park segment is engaged in the operation and management of Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea theme Parks. The Hotel segment operates and manages hotels such as Ambassador Hotel, Urayasu Brighton Hotel, Kyoto Brighton Hotel and others. In addition, it also operates shopping complex which composed of shops and restaurants as well as a cinema complex and offers monorail service around Tokyo Disney Resort. Oriental generates the majority of revenue through Theme Park segment.

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