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Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Welcia Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3141' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.76
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Welcia Holdings Co was -1.76. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.59.


Welcia Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Welcia Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Welcia Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.65 -2.20 -2.59 -2.53

Welcia Holdings Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 - - - -2.53

Competitive Comparison of Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Pharmaceutical Retailers subindustry, Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Welcia Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Welcia Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Welcia Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0945+0.528 * 1.0039+0.404 * 0.972+0.892 * 1.0638+0.115 * 0.9474
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0624+4.679 * -0.036382-0.327 * 0.9796
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円63,197 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,217,339 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円370,107 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円259,601 Mil.
Total Assets was 円551,860 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円183,623 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円24,392 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円31,543 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円222,481 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円59,484 Mil.
Net Income was 円26,451 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円46,529 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円54,276 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,144,278 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円349,254 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円242,697 Mil.
Total Assets was 円537,362 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円185,840 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円23,225 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円27,909 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円216,633 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円63,646 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(63197 / 1217339) / (54276 / 1144278)
=0.051914 / 0.047433
=1.0945

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(349254 / 1144278) / (370107 / 1217339)
=0.305218 / 0.30403
=1.0039

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (259601 + 183623) / 551860) / (1 - (242697 + 185840) / 537362)
=0.196854 / 0.202517
=0.972

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1217339 / 1144278
=1.0638

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23225 / (23225 + 185840)) / (24392 / (24392 + 183623))
=0.11109 / 0.117261
=0.9474

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(31543 / 1217339) / (27909 / 1144278)
=0.025911 / 0.02439
=1.0624

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((59484 + 222481) / 551860) / ((63646 + 216633) / 537362)
=0.510936 / 0.521583
=0.9796

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(26451 - 0 - 46529) / 551860
=-0.036382

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Welcia Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Welcia Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-2-15 Outside Kanda, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0021
Welcia Holdings Co Ltd operates drug retail stores that sell pharmaceuticals, health and beauty products, baby supplies, health supplements, sanitation items, groceries, and personal-care products. The company generates the bulk of its revenue through sales of over-the-counter drugs and food products. Welcia is involved in pharmaceutical dispensing, blood testing, and earthquake reconstruction assistance. The highest concentration of sales remains in the Kanto region of Japan. Welcia also provides nursing services through its long-term care enterprise.

Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Headlines

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