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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Beneish M-Score : -1.55 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600809' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.41   Med: -2.21   Max: -0.03
Current: -1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co was -0.03. The lowest was -3.41. And the median was -2.21.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.03 -1.65 -2.82 -2.80 -1.61

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.60 -2.16 -1.61 -1.55

Competitive Comparison of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6761+0.528 * 0.9935+0.404 * 0.9348+0.892 * 1.2192+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8731+4.679 * 0.020789-0.327 * 0.9228
=-1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,953 Mil.
Revenue was 15338.104 + 5184.018 + 7733.313 + 6328.678 = ¥34,584 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11881.032 + 3735.528 + 5803.247 + 4922.828 = ¥26,343 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥41,138 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥50,431 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,634 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥3,622 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥15,203 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥547 Mil.
Net Income was 6262.425 + 1006.91 + 2663.974 + 1948.213 = ¥11,882 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7041.143 + -78.479 + 2095.873 + 1774.6 = ¥10,833 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥956 Mil.
Revenue was 12682.474 + 4069.854 + 6810.274 + 4803.432 = ¥28,366 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9582.532 + 2810.302 + 5306.21 + 3765.791 = ¥21,465 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥31,968 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥40,314 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,506 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥3,403 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥12,819 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥824 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1952.803 / 34584.113) / (955.617 / 28366.034)
=0.056465 / 0.033689
=1.6761

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(21464.835 / 28366.034) / (26342.635 / 34584.113)
=0.756709 / 0.761698
=0.9935

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (41137.693 + 3633.744) / 50430.504) / (1 - (31967.769 + 3506.405) / 40313.643)
=0.112215 / 0.120045
=0.9348

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34584.113 / 28366.034
=1.2192

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3506.405)) / (0 / (0 + 3633.744))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3622.194 / 34584.113) / (3402.871 / 28366.034)
=0.104736 / 0.119963
=0.8731

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((547.417 + 15203.288) / 50430.504) / ((824.448 + 12819.135) / 40313.643)
=0.312325 / 0.338436
=0.9228

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11881.522 - 0 - 10833.137) / 50430.504
=0.020789

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co has a M-score of -1.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Xinghua Village, Fenyang County, Shanxi, Lvliang, CHN, 032205
Shanxi Fen Wine, or Fen Wine, is a typical light-flavored baijiu, featuring a fresher, lighter, and purer-taste compared with jiang-flavored and rich-flavored spirits. The company offers a comprehensive product portfolio, covering sub-premium, mid- to high range, and low-end products. The Fen series contributed about 90% of the company's sales revenue in 2022, including sub-premium brand Qinghua, midrange products Panama and Laobaifen, and low-end Bofen. The State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Shanxi province controls 51% of Fen Wine.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Headlines

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