GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Agriculture » UPL Ltd (NSE:UPL) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

UPL (NSE:UPL) Beneish M-Score : -2.55 (As of May. 02, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is UPL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for UPL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:UPL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.73   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.15
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of UPL was -1.15. The lowest was -2.73. And the median was -2.55.


UPL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for UPL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UPL Beneish M-Score Chart

UPL Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.15 -2.73 -2.71 -2.48 -2.55

UPL Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.55 - - -

Competitive Comparison of UPL's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, UPL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UPL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, UPL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UPL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



UPL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of UPL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9637+0.528 * 1.0685+0.404 * 1.0053+0.892 * 1.1558+0.115 * 1.0211
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1085+4.679 * -0.047202-0.327 * 0.9269
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹206,870 Mil.
Revenue was ₹531,340 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹255,130 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹420,280 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹885,770 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹102,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹25,470 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹23,600 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹290,370 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹208,190 Mil.
Net Income was ₹35,700 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹77,510 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹185,730 Mil.
Revenue was ₹459,710 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹235,850 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹397,280 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹826,790 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹92,630 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹23,590 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹18,420 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹279,760 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹222,310 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(206870 / 531340) / (185730 / 459710)
=0.389336 / 0.404016
=0.9637

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(235850 / 459710) / (255130 / 531340)
=0.513041 / 0.480163
=1.0685

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (420280 + 102660) / 885770) / (1 - (397280 + 92630) / 826790)
=0.409621 / 0.407455
=1.0053

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=531340 / 459710
=1.1558

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23590 / (23590 + 92630)) / (25470 / (25470 + 102660))
=0.202977 / 0.198782
=1.0211

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(23600 / 531340) / (18420 / 459710)
=0.044416 / 0.040069
=1.1085

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((208190 + 290370) / 885770) / ((222310 + 279760) / 826790)
=0.562855 / 0.607252
=0.9269

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(35700 - 0 - 77510) / 885770
=-0.047202

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

UPL has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


UPL (NSE:UPL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
UPL House, 610 B/2, Bandra Village, Off Western Express Highway, Bandra (East), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400051
UPL Ltd is a global crop protection and seed company with product sales to the agricultural industry. The Company derives revenue primarily from sale of agro-chemicals, seeds and other products. The firm's crop protection portfolio includes fungicides, herbicides, insecticides, plant growth regulators rodenticides, and specialty crop chemicals. The firm's seed products consist of nutri-feeds, seeds, and seed treatment products. UPL competes on price with the manufacture and sale of generic products. UPL generates its revenue worldwide, with sales in over 120 countries, and derives the largest share of its revenue in India. The firm sells its products through a distribution network in each region.

UPL (NSE:UPL) Headlines

No Headlines