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ITC (NSE:ITC) Beneish M-Score : -2.35 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is ITC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ITC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:ITC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.31   Max: -1.69
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ITC was -1.69. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.31.


ITC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ITC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ITC Beneish M-Score Chart

ITC Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -2.79 -2.44 -2.31 -2.35

ITC Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.35 - - -

Competitive Comparison of ITC's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, ITC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ITC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, ITC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ITC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ITC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ITC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9949+0.528 * 0.9556+0.404 * 1.0186+0.892 * 1.1692+0.115 * 0.9864
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0389+4.679 * 0.003657-0.327 * 1.0156
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹42,769 Mil.
Revenue was ₹702,452 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹407,847 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹396,709 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹858,830 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹249,767 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹18,090 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹21,451 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹137,394 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹2,169 Mil.
Net Income was ₹191,917 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹188,776 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹36,768 Mil.
Revenue was ₹600,814 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹333,349 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹342,325 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹772,596 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹242,730 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹17,324 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹17,660 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹121,637 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹1,985 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(42768.9 / 702452.2) / (36767.6 / 600813.6)
=0.060885 / 0.061196
=0.9949

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(333349.2 / 600813.6) / (407847 / 702452.2)
=0.55483 / 0.580605
=0.9556

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (396708.9 + 249766.7) / 858829.8) / (1 - (342324.5 + 242730.1) / 772595.5)
=0.24726 / 0.242741
=1.0186

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=702452.2 / 600813.6
=1.1692

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17324.1 / (17324.1 + 242730.1)) / (18090.1 / (18090.1 + 249766.7))
=0.066617 / 0.067536
=0.9864

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(21450.5 / 702452.2) / (17660.2 / 600813.6)
=0.030537 / 0.029394
=1.0389

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2168.6 + 137394.1) / 858829.8) / ((1985.2 + 121637.1) / 772595.5)
=0.162503 / 0.160009
=1.0156

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(191916.6 - 0 - 188775.5) / 858829.8
=0.003657

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ITC has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ITC (NSE:ITC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
37 Jawaharlal Nehru Road, Virginia House, Kolkata, WB, IND, 700 071
ITC Ltd is an Indian conglomerate that primarily operates in the consumer goods space, particularly cigarettes. The company operates in four main business segments: Fast Moving Consumer Goods; Hotels; Paperboards, Paper, and Packaging; and Agri-Business. Roughly three-quarters of the company's total revenue comes from the Fast Moving Consumer Goods Business, which is dominated by cigarettes but also includes branded packaged foods, personal care products, and other categories. The company generates the vast majority of its revenue in India.

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