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JPMorgan Chase (NEOE:JPM) Beneish M-Score : -2.52 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is JPMorgan Chase Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for JPMorgan Chase's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NEOE:JPM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.39   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of JPMorgan Chase was -2.08. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.39.


JPMorgan Chase Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of JPMorgan Chase for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6826+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0052+0.892 * 1.2407+0.115 * 0.9818
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9302+4.679 * 0.010015-0.327 * 1.0497
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$144,038 Mil.
Revenue was 51785.76 + 53800.609 + 51260.045 + 52471.568 = C$209,318 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51785.76 + 53800.609 + 51260.045 + 52471.568 = C$209,318 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,239,637 Mil.
Total Assets was C$5,199,227 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$40,459 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$10,139 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$68,824 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$486,553 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$525,672 Mil.
Net Income was 12486.271 + 17794.618 + 19227.499 + 17270.683 = C$66,779 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = C$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 80805.91 + 61050.519 + 25064.039 + -152211.06 = C$14,709 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$170,069 Mil.
Revenue was 46884.552 + 43621.198 + 39319.804 + 38888.988 = C$168,715 Mil.
Gross Profit was 46884.552 + 43621.198 + 39319.804 + 38888.988 = C$168,715 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,207,872 Mil.
Total Assets was C$4,979,912 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$37,677 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$9,227 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$59,635 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$521,676 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$401,933 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(144038.201 / 209317.982) / (170069.256 / 168714.542)
=0.688131 / 1.00803
=0.6826

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(168714.542 / 168714.542) / (209317.982 / 209317.982)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1239637.059 + 40458.631) / 5199227.248) / (1 - (1207872.236 + 37676.639) / 4979911.865)
=0.753791 / 0.749885
=1.0052

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=209317.982 / 168714.542
=1.2407

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9227.146 / (9227.146 + 37676.639)) / (10138.755 / (10138.755 + 40458.631))
=0.196725 / 0.200381
=0.9818

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(68823.784 / 209317.982) / (59635.11 / 168714.542)
=0.3288 / 0.353468
=0.9302

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((525672.42 + 486552.705) / 5199227.248) / ((401932.602 + 521676.226) / 4979911.865)
=0.194688 / 0.185467
=1.0497

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(66779.071 - 0 - 14709.408) / 5199227.248
=0.010015

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

JPMorgan Chase has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


JPMorgan Chase Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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JPMorgan Chase (NEOE:JPM) Business Description

Address
383 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10179
JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with nearly $4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments--consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates, and is subject to regulation, in multiple countries.