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Autogrill SpA (MIL:AGL) Beneish M-Score : -3.31 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Autogrill SpA Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.31 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:AGL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.93   Max: -2.26
Current: -3.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Autogrill SpA was -2.26. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.93.


Autogrill SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Autogrill SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

Autogrill SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -3.03 -2.26 -3.06 -3.31

Autogrill SpA Semi-Annual Data
Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 - -3.06 - -3.31

Competitive Comparison of Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Autogrill SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Autogrill SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Autogrill SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5257+0.528 * 0.9579+0.404 * 0.979+0.892 * 1.5477+0.115 * 0.9492
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7908+4.679 * -0.187977-0.327 * 1.0076
=-3.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was €164 Mil.
Revenue was €4,461 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,377 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €863 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,138 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,185 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €553 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €87 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,705 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,367 Mil.
Net Income was €-54 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €724 Mil.
Total Receivables was €201 Mil.
Revenue was €2,883 Mil.
Gross Profit was €852 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €745 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,119 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,266 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €537 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €71 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,107 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,927 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(163.748 / 4461.359) / (201.248 / 2882.634)
=0.036704 / 0.069814
=0.5257

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(852.167 / 2882.634) / (1376.813 / 4461.359)
=0.295621 / 0.308608
=0.9579

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (863.106 + 2185.181) / 4138.334) / (1 - (745.011 + 2265.657) / 4118.897)
=0.263402 / 0.26906
=0.979

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4461.359 / 2882.634
=1.5477

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(536.955 / (536.955 + 2265.657)) / (552.62 / (552.62 + 2185.181))
=0.191591 / 0.201848
=0.9492

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(87.115 / 4461.359) / (71.184 / 2882.634)
=0.019527 / 0.024694
=0.7908

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1367.347 + 1705.134) / 4138.334) / ((1927.407 + 1107.466) / 4118.897)
=0.742444 / 0.736817
=1.0076

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-53.657 - 0 - 724.254) / 4138.334
=-0.187977

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Autogrill SpA has a M-score of -3.31 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Autogrill SpA Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Autogrill SpA (MIL:AGL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Centro Direzionale Milanofiori, Palazzo Z, Strada 5, Rozzano, ITA, 20089
Autogrill SpA operates thousands of food and beverage concession stands designed mostly for travellers. It has thousands of locations along motorways and in airports, train stations, and shopping centers. Autogrill's concession stands operate both as proprietary brands, such as Ciao, Bistrot, Puro Gusto, Motta, and Beaudeven, as well as licensed local and international brands, such as Starbucks, Burger King, and Brioche Doree. Roughly half of the company's revenue is generated in North America, where the company has most of its airport locations. The remaining revenue comes from Europe, where the company has far more total locations consisting mostly of locations along motorways in Italy and other parts of Europe.