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NOVATEK PJSC (MIC:NVTK) Beneish M-Score : -1.92 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is NOVATEK PJSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIC:NVTK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.12   Max: 0.83
Current: -1.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NOVATEK PJSC was 0.83. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.12.


NOVATEK PJSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NOVATEK PJSC Beneish M-Score Chart

NOVATEK PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.86 0.83 -3.49 -1.33 -

NOVATEK PJSC Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -1.99 -1.33 -1.92 -

Competitive Comparison of NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NOVATEK PJSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



NOVATEK PJSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NOVATEK PJSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7533+0.528 * 1.1892+0.404 * 0.9476+0.892 * 1.5896+0.115 * 1.3911
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2041+4.679 * 0.029067-0.327 * 0.9015
=-1.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Mar21) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₽233,905 Mil.
Revenue was 314766 + 370982 + 276707 + 264452 = ₽1,226,907 Mil.
Gross Profit was 165900 + 224145 + 116557 + 117822 = ₽624,424 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽526,171 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽2,899,036 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽1,110,326 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽44,179 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽8,650 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽230,257 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽153,529 Mil.
Net Income was 62685 + 155582 + 112906 + 99287 = ₽430,460 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₽0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 100873 + 93810 + 151511 = ₽346,194 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₽195,348 Mil.
Revenue was 244583 + 219540 + 163771 + 143939 = ₽771,833 Mil.
Gross Profit was 137471 + 173261 + 84235 + 72163 = ₽467,130 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽372,790 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽2,097,978 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽760,992 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽42,787 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽4,519 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽140,232 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽167,856 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(233905 / 1226907) / (195348 / 771833)
=0.190646 / 0.253096
=0.7533

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(467130 / 771833) / (624424 / 1226907)
=0.605222 / 0.508942
=1.1892

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (526171 + 1110326) / 2899036) / (1 - (372790 + 760992) / 2097978)
=0.435503 / 0.459583
=0.9476

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1226907 / 771833
=1.5896

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(42787 / (42787 + 760992)) / (44179 / (44179 + 1110326))
=0.053232 / 0.038267
=1.3911

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8650 / 1226907) / (4519 / 771833)
=0.00705 / 0.005855
=1.2041

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((153529 + 230257) / 2899036) / ((167856 + 140232) / 2097978)
=0.132384 / 0.14685
=0.9015

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(430460 - 0 - 346194) / 2899036
=0.029067

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NOVATEK PJSC has a M-score of -1.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NOVATEK PJSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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NOVATEK PJSC (MIC:NVTK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2, Udaltsova Street, Moscow, RUS, 119415
NOVATEK PJSC, or simply Novatek, is a Russian-based exploration and production company that acquires, explores for, produces, processes, and markets oil and gas. While the company is mostly focused on natural gas production, it also has exposure to oil. Its exploration and production take place in a variety of fields in central Russia. The natural gas is then processed and sold. Novatek also sells liquid hydrocarbons such as petroleum products, light hydrocarbons, LPG, and crude oil. The majority of its natural gas is sold in Russia, while the liquid hydrocarbons are sold in Russia and internationally, including China, Europe, and the United States.

NOVATEK PJSC (MIC:NVTK) Headlines

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