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Capital One Financial (LTS:0HT4) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Capital One Financial Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Capital One Financial's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0HT4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.19
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Capital One Financial was -2.19. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.52.


Capital One Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Capital One Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0482+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9871+0.892 * 1.0659+0.115 * 1.1654
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9859+4.679 * -0.03194-0.327 * 1.0132
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,514 Mil.
Revenue was 9402 + 9506 + 9366 + 9012 = $37,286 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9402 + 9506 + 9366 + 9012 = $37,286 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $56,303 Mil.
Total Assets was $481,720 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,366 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,781 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $13,475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $49,793 Mil.
Net Income was 1280 + 706 + 1790 + 1431 = $5,207 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3010 + 7100 + 7129 + 3354 = $20,593 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,250 Mil.
Revenue was 8903 + 9040 + 8805 + 8232 = $34,980 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8903 + 9040 + 8805 + 8232 = $34,980 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $49,647 Mil.
Total Assets was $471,660 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,365 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,622 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $12,822 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $621 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $48,235 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2514 / 37286) / (2250 / 34980)
=0.067425 / 0.064322
=1.0482

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34980 / 34980) / (37286 / 37286)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (56303 + 4366) / 481720) / (1 - (49647 + 4365) / 471660)
=0.874058 / 0.885485
=0.9871

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=37286 / 34980
=1.0659

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3622 / (3622 + 4365)) / (2781 / (2781 + 4366))
=0.453487 / 0.389114
=1.1654

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13475 / 37286) / (12822 / 34980)
=0.361396 / 0.366552
=0.9859

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((49793 + 762) / 481720) / ((48235 + 621) / 471660)
=0.104947 / 0.103583
=1.0132

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5207 - 0 - 20593) / 481720
=-0.03194

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Capital One Financial has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Capital One Financial Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Capital One Financial (LTS:0HT4) Business Description

Address
1680 Capital One Drive, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending.