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Lear (LEA) Beneish M-Score : -2.66 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Lear Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lear's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LEA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.81   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lear was -2.36. The lowest was -2.81. And the median was -2.61.


Lear Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lear's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lear Beneish M-Score Chart

Lear Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.36 -2.66 -2.55 -2.66

Lear Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.40 -2.52 -2.63 -2.66

Competitive Comparison of Lear's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Lear's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lear's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lear's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lear's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lear Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lear for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9494+0.528 * 0.9259+0.404 * 0.9763+0.892 * 1.1233+0.115 * 0.9959
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9291+4.679 * -0.042319-0.327 * 1.0124
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,681 Mil.
Revenue was 5841.2 + 5781 + 5999.2 + 5845.5 = $23,467 Mil.
Gross Profit was 405.2 + 418.2 + 457 + 430 = $1,710 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,637 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,696 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,977 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $604 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $715 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,667 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,743 Mil.
Net Income was 127.3 + 132.9 + 168.7 + 143.6 = $573 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -15.9 + -5.8 + -19.5 + -13.7 = $-55 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 569.7 + 403.8 + 311.4 + -35.6 = $1,249 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,452 Mil.
Revenue was 5370.9 + 5241.2 + 5071 + 5208.4 = $20,892 Mil.
Gross Profit was 371.6 + 376.9 + 339.9 + 321.5 = $1,410 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,994 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,763 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,854 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $577 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $685 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,188 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,591 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3681.2 / 23466.9) / (3451.9 / 20891.5)
=0.156868 / 0.16523
=0.9494

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1409.9 / 20891.5) / (1710.4 / 23466.9)
=0.067487 / 0.072886
=0.9259

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7636.9 + 2977.4) / 14695.5) / (1 - (6994.1 + 2854) / 13763)
=0.277718 / 0.284451
=0.9763

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23466.9 / 20891.5
=1.1233

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(576.5 / (576.5 + 2854)) / (604.4 / (604.4 + 2977.4))
=0.168051 / 0.168742
=0.9959

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(714.7 / 23466.9) / (684.8 / 20891.5)
=0.030456 / 0.032779
=0.9291

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2742.6 + 5667.2) / 14695.5) / ((2591.2 + 5188.3) / 13763)
=0.57227 / 0.565247
=1.0124

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(572.5 - -54.9 - 1249.3) / 14695.5
=-0.042319

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lear has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lear (LEA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
21557 Telegraph Road, Southfield, MI, USA, 48033
Lear designs, develops, and manufactures automotive seating and electrical systems and components. Seating components include frames and mechanisms, covers (leather and woven fabric), seat heating and cooling, foam, and headrests. Automotive electrical distribution and connection systems and electronic systems include wiring harnesses, terminals and connectors, on-board battery chargers, high-voltage battery management systems, high-voltage power distribution systems, domain controllers, telematics control units, gateway modules, vehicle positioning for automated and autonomous driving, embedded control software, cloud and mobile device software and services, and cybersecurity. Lear's largest customer and regional market is GM and North America at 20% and 44% of 2022 revenue, respectively.
Executives
Raymond E Scott director, officer: President & CEO
Carl A. Esposito officer: SVP & President, E-Systems 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Jason M Cardew officer: SVP & CFO 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Frank C Orsini officer: EVP & President, Seating 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Mallett Conrad L Jr director
Greg C Smith director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, 21175 OAKWOOD BLVD, DEARBORN MI 48124
Marianne Vidershain officer: VP, Treasurer 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Jonathan F Foster director 777 THIRD AVE, 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas A Didonato officer: SVP & CAO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS, INC., 150 THORN HILL DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15095
Alicia J. Davis officer: SVP, Corp Dev & Inv Relations 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Roger A Krone director
Patricia L Lewis director C/O UNITEDHEALTH GROUP, 9900 BREN ROAD EAST, MN008-T502, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Bradley M Halverson director 100 N.E. ADAMS STREET, PEORIA IL 61629
Shari L Burgess officer: VP & Treasurer
Harry Albert Kemp officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033

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