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PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk (ISX:INKP) Beneish M-Score : -2.60 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:INKP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.62   Med: -2.49   Max: -0.72
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk was -0.72. The lowest was -2.62. And the median was -2.49.


PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.62 -2.57 -1.99 -2.60

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.99 -2.09 -2.14 -2.35 -2.60

Competitive Comparison of PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0399+0.528 * 1.2232+0.404 * 1.0353+0.892 * 0.8798+0.115 * 0.8741
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7964+4.679 * -0.044844-0.327 * 0.9692
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp26,276,313 Mil.
Revenue was 12208803.457 + 11738927.247 + 13144100.867 + 15908826.639 = Rp53,000,658 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3786291.174 + 3116875.051 + 4288285.879 + 6029217.288 = Rp17,220,669 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp86,696,969 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp156,089,055 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp63,163,809 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp194,789 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp3,837,678 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp32,721,262 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp26,331,610 Mil.
Net Income was 1396411.465 + 812801.495 + 2032837.826 + 2006877.314 = Rp6,248,928 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4891078.302 + 4741934.632 + 449172.293 + 3166335.805 = Rp13,248,521 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp28,720,581 Mil.
Revenue was 15802258.03 + 16116834.663 + 14036341.985 + 14287571.458 = Rp60,243,006 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5923890.216 + 7096682.712 + 5686757.507 + 5236227.816 = Rp23,943,558 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp86,151,785 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp151,658,300 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp59,661,673 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp160,734 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp5,477,070 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp35,234,998 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp23,965,757 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(26276313.173 / 53000658.21) / (28720581.041 / 60243006.136)
=0.495773 / 0.476745
=1.0399

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(23943558.251 / 60243006.136) / (17220669.392 / 53000658.21)
=0.39745 / 0.324914
=1.2232

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (86696969.37 + 63163808.799) / 156089055.108) / (1 - (86151785.391 + 59661673.119) / 151658300.39)
=0.039902 / 0.03854
=1.0353

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=53000658.21 / 60243006.136
=0.8798

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(160733.886 / (160733.886 + 59661673.119)) / (194788.735 / (194788.735 + 63163808.799))
=0.002687 / 0.003074
=0.8741

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3837677.757 / 53000658.21) / (5477069.743 / 60243006.136)
=0.072408 / 0.090916
=0.7964

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26331610.339 + 32721261.892) / 156089055.108) / ((23965756.732 + 35234997.727) / 151658300.39)
=0.378328 / 0.390356
=0.9692

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6248928.1 - 0 - 13248521.032) / 156089055.108
=-0.044844

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk (ISX:INKP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Jalan M.H. Thamrin No. 51, Gedung Sinar Mas Land Plaza, Tower 2, 9th Floor, Gondangdia, Mentang, Jakarta Pusat, Jakarta, IDN, 10350
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk manufactures paper, pulp and packaging paper. The company's operating segment includes cultural paper and pulp and industrial paper and tissue products. Its cultural paper and pulp products segment consists of cultural paper and other related cultural paper products and pulp. The industrial paper products segment consists of linerboard, corrugating medium, corrugated shipping containers, and boxboard. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Asia and also has a presence in Europe; America; Middle East; Africa, and Australia. It generates maximum revenue from the cultural paper and pulp segment.

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk (ISX:INKP) Headlines

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