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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (ISX:GOTO) Beneish M-Score : -10.49 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -10.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:GOTO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.49   Med: -5.92   Max: -1.34
Current: -10.49

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk was -1.34. The lowest was -10.49. And the median was -5.92.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - -1.34 -10.49

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.34 - -2.78 -2.66 -10.49

Competitive Comparison of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0352+0.528 * 0.7889+0.404 * 0.483+0.892 * 1.3028+0.115 * 0.9257
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.346+4.679 * -1.591029-0.327 * 2.9904
=-10.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp3,318,694 Mil.
Revenue was 4274773 + 3627093 + 3551196 + 3332430 = Rp14,785,492 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2957496 + 2426264 + 2329155 + 1979398 = Rp9,692,313 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp33,617,291 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp54,097,256 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,038,618 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,671,148 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp12,078,234 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp12,822,544 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp3,432,561 Mil.
Net Income was -80847054 + -2387069 + -3299277 + -3862229 = Rp-90,395,629 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -114134 + -1103140 + -1177039 + -1930995 = Rp-4,325,308 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp2,460,790 Mil.
Revenue was 3380276 + 4568903 + 1902617 + 1497371 = Rp11,349,167 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1755920 + 3184246 + 647439 + 281592 = Rp5,869,197 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp34,180,478 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp139,216,570 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,457,341 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,912,887 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp26,793,552 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp12,162,456 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,826,270 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3318694 / 14785492) / (2460790 / 11349167)
=0.224456 / 0.216826
=1.0352

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5869197 / 11349167) / (9692313 / 14785492)
=0.517148 / 0.655529
=0.7889

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (33617291 + 1038618) / 54097256) / (1 - (34180478 + 1457341) / 139216570)
=0.359378 / 0.744012
=0.483

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14785492 / 11349167
=1.3028

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2912887 / (2912887 + 1457341)) / (2671148 / (2671148 + 1038618))
=0.66653 / 0.720031
=0.9257

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(12078234 / 14785492) / (26793552 / 11349167)
=0.816898 / 2.360839
=0.346

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3432561 + 12822544) / 54097256) / ((1826270 + 12162456) / 139216570)
=0.300479 / 0.100482
=2.9904

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-90395629 - 0 - -4325308) / 54097256
=-1.591029

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk has a M-score of -10.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (ISX:GOTO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Jalan Iskandarsyah II No. 2, Gedung Pasaraya Blok M, 6-7th Floor, Jakarta, IDN, 12160
GoTo is an Indonesian ecosystem that combines e-commerce, ride-hailing, delivery, and financial services under one app. The company operates primarily in Indonesia and is the product of a merger between Gojek and Tokopedia in May 2021. The company has 64 million active paying users and 12 million merchants as of 2022 on its platform. In 2022, on-demand accounted for 55% of revenue, e-commerce for 37%, and financial services for 8%. However, 82% of nonfinancial services gross transactional value comes from e-commerce, as it is the focal point in the ecosystem. The company competes with giants such as Sea-backed Shopee, Alibaba's Lazada, and smaller peers such as Bukalapak in e-commerce—and with Grab in the ride-hailing and delivery business.

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