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Pop Mart International Group (HKSE:09992) Beneish M-Score : -2.55 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Pop Mart International Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09992' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.55   Med: -2.07   Max: -0.92
Current: -2.55

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pop Mart International Group was -0.92. The lowest was -2.55. And the median was -2.07.


Pop Mart International Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pop Mart International Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Pop Mart International Group Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.16 -2.07 -0.92 -2.40 -2.55

Pop Mart International Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.92 - -2.40 - -2.55

Competitive Comparison of Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pop Mart International Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pop Mart International Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pop Mart International Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1468+0.528 * 0.9375+0.404 * 0.9786+0.892 * 1.3366+0.115 * 1.0452
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9213+4.679 * -0.091109-0.327 * 1.1775
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$408 Mil.
Revenue was HK$6,892 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$8,404 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$10,904 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,518 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$731 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$2,966 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,896 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$466 Mil.
Net Income was HK$1,184 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$2,177 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$266 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,156 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,964 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$7,388 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$9,581 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,312 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$675 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$2,409 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,263 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$500 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(408.106 / 6891.903) / (266.233 / 5156.234)
=0.059215 / 0.051633
=1.1468

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2964.367 / 5156.234) / (4226.439 / 6891.903)
=0.574909 / 0.613247
=0.9375

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8404.016 + 1517.942) / 10903.732) / (1 - (7387.665 + 1312.215) / 9581.482)
=0.09004 / 0.092011
=0.9786

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6891.903 / 5156.234
=1.3366

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(675.408 / (675.408 + 1312.215)) / (731.262 / (731.262 + 1517.942))
=0.339807 / 0.32512
=1.0452

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2966.335 / 6891.903) / (2408.79 / 5156.234)
=0.430409 / 0.467161
=0.9213

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((465.899 + 1895.848) / 10903.732) / ((499.801 + 1262.722) / 9581.482)
=0.2166 / 0.183951
=1.1775

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1183.845 - 0 - 2177.272) / 10903.732
=-0.091109

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pop Mart International Group has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Pop Mart International Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pop Mart International Group (HKSE:09992) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hongtai East Street, Floor 36 and 37, Block A, Puxiang Center, Dawangjing Technology Business Park, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100102
Pop Mart International Group Ltd is principally engaged in the product design and development and sale of pop toys in China. It generates maximum revenue from a retail store. The company generates revenue from retail store sales, roboshop sales, wholesales and majority being from online sales.

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