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Microsoft (HKSE:04338) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Microsoft Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Microsoft's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:04338' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.33
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Microsoft was -2.33. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.55.


Microsoft Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Beneish M-Score Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.65 -2.45 -2.41 -2.52

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.52 -2.54 -2.35 -2.39

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Microsoft Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Microsoft for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0303+0.528 * 0.9794+0.404 * 1.3633+0.892 * 1.1383+0.115 * 0.9634
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9191+4.679 * -0.046995-0.327 * 0.985
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$344,439 Mil.
Revenue was 483915.134 + 484363.796 + 442443.334 + 440128.437 = HK$1,850,851 Mil.
Gross Profit was 339150.519 + 331112.091 + 314823.127 + 308573.202 = HK$1,293,659 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,151,389 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,788,483 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,085,410 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$154,728 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$245,686 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$927,221 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$446,905 Mil.
Net Income was 171628.797 + 170800.326 + 174505.093 + 157294.473 = HK$674,229 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -5264.879 + -2585.044 + -1972.782 + 391.65 = HK$-9,431 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 249686.691 + 147238.159 + 239419.015 + 225355.41 = HK$861,699 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$293,698 Mil.
Revenue was 414858.736 + 410656.494 + 393427.627 + 407041.706 = HK$1,625,985 Mil.
Gross Profit was 288274.902 + 274505.419 + 272138.698 + 278105.272 = HK$1,113,024 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,286,316 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,983,197 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$800,654 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$109,384 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$234,843 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$672,563 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$426,004 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(344438.867 / 1850850.701) / (293698.354 / 1625984.563)
=0.186098 / 0.180628
=1.0303

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1113024.291 / 1625984.563) / (1293658.939 / 1850850.701)
=0.684523 / 0.698954
=0.9794

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1151389.14 + 1085409.958) / 3788483.325) / (1 - (1286315.594 + 800653.736) / 2983196.686)
=0.409579 / 0.300425
=1.3633

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1850850.701 / 1625984.563
=1.1383

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(109383.591 / (109383.591 + 800653.736)) / (154728.409 / (154728.409 + 1085409.958))
=0.120197 / 0.124767
=0.9634

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(245685.593 / 1850850.701) / (234843.44 / 1625984.563)
=0.132742 / 0.144432
=0.9191

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((446904.521 + 927221.075) / 3788483.325) / ((426003.89 + 672562.952) / 2983196.686)
=0.362711 / 0.368252
=0.985

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(674228.689 - -9431.055 - 861699.275) / 3788483.325
=-0.046995

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Microsoft has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Microsoft Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Microsoft (HKSE:04338) Business Description

Address
One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

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