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BOC Aviation (HKSE:02588) Beneish M-Score : -0.96 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is BOC Aviation Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.96 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02588' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -1.82   Max: 8.97
Current: -0.96

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BOC Aviation was 8.97. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -1.82.


BOC Aviation Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BOC Aviation Beneish M-Score Chart

BOC Aviation Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.97 8.44 -2.50 -2.85 -0.96

BOC Aviation Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 - -2.85 - -0.96

Competitive Comparison of BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BOC Aviation's Beneish M-Score falls into.



BOC Aviation Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BOC Aviation for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5743+0.528 * 1.3777+0.404 * 3.932+0.892 * 0.9777+0.115 * 0.995
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4594+4.679 * -0.06286-0.327 * 0.9957
=-0.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$2,361 Mil.
Revenue was HK$16,158 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,265 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$6,492 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$188,760 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$162,172 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6,212 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$228 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$26,567 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$104,869 Mil.
Net Income was HK$5,966 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$17,831 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$1,534 Mil.
Revenue was HK$16,527 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$6,010 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$6,580 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$171,834 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$160,602 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6,120 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$160 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$21,169 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$98,996 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2360.575 / 16158.195) / (1533.677 / 16527.096)
=0.146092 / 0.092798
=1.5743

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6010.103 / 16527.096) / (4264.885 / 16158.195)
=0.363651 / 0.263946
=1.3777

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6492.029 + 162171.747) / 188759.828) / (1 - (6580.282 + 160601.669) / 171834.483)
=0.106464 / 0.027076
=3.932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16158.195 / 16527.096
=0.9777

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6119.978 / (6119.978 + 160601.669)) / (6211.829 / (6211.829 + 162171.747))
=0.036708 / 0.036891
=0.995

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(227.718 / 16158.195) / (159.608 / 16527.096)
=0.014093 / 0.009657
=1.4594

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((104868.675 + 26566.55) / 188759.828) / ((98996.211 + 21169.094) / 171834.483)
=0.696309 / 0.699308
=0.9957

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5965.922 - 0 - 17831.343) / 188759.828
=-0.06286

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BOC Aviation has a M-score of -0.96 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


BOC Aviation Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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BOC Aviation (HKSE:02588) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
79 Robinson Road, No. 15-01, Singapore, SGP, 068897
BOC Aviation is the world's fifth-largest aircraft leasing company by net book value of owned aircraft, with a portfolio of more than 600 commercial passenger and cargo aircraft. The company was founded in 1993 in Singapore as a joint venture between Singapore Airlines and U.S.-based Boullioun Aviation Services. In 2006, the company was acquired by the Bank of China and took on its current name. Listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong in 2016, BOC Aviation remains headquartered in Singapore, but has operations in Dublin, London, New York, and Tianjin. Bank of China remains its largest shareholder with a 70% stake. BOC Aviation has an international management team with its key leaders having more than 30 years of experience in the aircraft and leasing business.

BOC Aviation (HKSE:02588) Headlines

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