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Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) Beneish M-Score : -2.43 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02150' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.01   Med: -1.6   Max: 34.85
Current: -2.43

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nayuki Holdings was 34.85. The lowest was -6.01. And the median was -1.60.


Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Nayuki Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 34.85 -6.01 -0.77 -2.43

Nayuki Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.01 - -0.77 - -2.43

Competitive Comparison of Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nayuki Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.652+0.528 * 0.8837+0.404 * 2.9762+0.892 * 1.1786+0.115 * 1.1381
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9216+4.679 * -0.10812-0.327 * 1.1515
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$78 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,648 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$2,254 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,349 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,247 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,336 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$783 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$349 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,478 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,467 Mil.
Net Income was HK$14 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$906 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$101 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,792 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,690 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$4,433 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$7,750 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,823 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$780 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$321 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,343 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,060 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(77.834 / 5648.335) / (101.295 / 4792.477)
=0.01378 / 0.021136
=0.652

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1690.01 / 4792.477) / (2254 / 5648.335)
=0.352638 / 0.399056
=0.8837

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3349.228 + 3336.147) / 8247.491) / (1 - (4432.999 + 2823.478) / 7749.665)
=0.189405 / 0.06364
=2.9762

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5648.335 / 4792.477
=1.1786

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(779.593 / (779.593 + 2823.478)) / (783.175 / (783.175 + 3336.147))
=0.216369 / 0.190122
=1.1381

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(349.202 / 5648.335) / (321.488 / 4792.477)
=0.061824 / 0.067082
=0.9216

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1467.464 + 1477.746) / 8247.491) / ((1060.313 + 1342.927) / 7749.665)
=0.357104 / 0.310109
=1.1515

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14.464 - 0 - 906.185) / 8247.491
=-0.10812

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nayuki Holdings has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Huangguan Science Park, Tairan 9th Road, Zone F, 2nd Floor, Building 3, Chegongmiao Industrial Zone, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN
Nayuki Holdings Ltd is a premium modern teahouse chain in China serving freshly-made tea drinks. The group principally generates its revenue from the sales of freshly-made tea drinks, baked goods, and other products through its operating teahouses and online food delivery applications mainly in the PRC.

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