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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01929' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.81   Med: -2.62   Max: -1.8
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group was -1.80. The lowest was -3.81. And the median was -2.62.


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -3.31 -2.31 -2.92 -2.65

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.92 - -2.65 -

Competitive Comparison of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0861+0.528 * 1.0098+0.404 * 1.1221+0.892 * 0.957+0.115 * 0.9455
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0248+4.679 * -0.053601-0.327 * 1.0263
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$3,315 Mil.
Revenue was HK$94,684 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$21,172 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$77,267 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$87,341 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,841 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,220 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$13,696 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$51,022 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,051 Mil.
Net Income was HK$5,384 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$10,066 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$3,190 Mil.
Revenue was HK$98,938 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$22,340 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$78,126 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$87,737 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,718 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,026 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$13,964 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$49,629 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,316 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3315.4 / 94684.4) / (3189.8 / 98937.7)
=0.035015 / 0.03224
=1.0861

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22339.7 / 98937.7) / (21171.5 / 94684.4)
=0.225796 / 0.223601
=1.0098

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (77266.8 + 6840.8) / 87340.5) / (1 - (78125.6 + 6717.5) / 87737.3)
=0.037015 / 0.032987
=1.1221

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=94684.4 / 98937.7
=0.957

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2025.7 / (2025.7 + 6717.5)) / (2220.3 / (2220.3 + 6840.8))
=0.231689 / 0.245036
=0.9455

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13695.7 / 94684.4) / (13964 / 98937.7)
=0.144646 / 0.141139
=1.0248

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2051.1 + 51021.5) / 87340.5) / ((2316.1 + 49629.4) / 87737.3)
=0.607652 / 0.592057
=1.0263

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5384.4 - 0 - 10065.9) / 87340.5
=-0.053601

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16 - 18 Queen's Road Central, 33rd Floor, New World Tower, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd is engaged in the jewelry and watch business located in Mainland China. The company's geographical operating segment includes Mainland China and Hong Kong, Macau and other markets. It generates maximum revenue from Mainland China. Its product categories include ring, bands, necklace, pendant, earrings, chain, bracelet, and others. The company derives revenue from Gem-set, Gold products, Platinum/Karat gold products, and Watches.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (HKSE:01929) Headlines

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