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Jia Yao Holdings (HKSE:01626) Beneish M-Score : -1.77 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Jia Yao Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.77 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01626' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.51   Max: 2.5
Current: -1.77

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jia Yao Holdings was 2.50. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.51.


Jia Yao Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jia Yao Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Jia Yao Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.86 -2.09 -2.63 -2.72 -1.77

Jia Yao Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 - -2.72 - -1.77

Competitive Comparison of Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jia Yao Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Jia Yao Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jia Yao Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6448+0.528 * 0.5349+0.404 * 0.7505+0.892 * 1.4723+0.115 * 0.8671
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2257+4.679 * 0.021012-0.327 * 1.0101
=-1.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$465 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,592 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$424 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,332 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,603 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$206 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$243 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$988 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$22 Mil.
Net Income was HK$109 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$75 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$192 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,081 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$154 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$971 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$162 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$20 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$135 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$741 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(465.226 / 1592.173) / (192.107 / 1081.385)
=0.292196 / 0.177649
=1.6448

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(153.951 / 1081.385) / (423.797 / 1592.173)
=0.142365 / 0.266175
=0.5349

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1331.924 + 205.662) / 1602.649) / (1 - (971.44 + 161.755) / 1197.999)
=0.040597 / 0.054094
=0.7505

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1592.173 / 1081.385
=1.4723

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(20.208 / (20.208 + 161.755)) / (30.208 / (30.208 + 205.662))
=0.111056 / 0.128071
=0.8671

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(242.895 / 1592.173) / (134.595 / 1081.385)
=0.152556 / 0.124465
=1.2257

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((22.07 + 988.071) / 1602.649) / ((6.772 + 740.772) / 1197.999)
=0.630295 / 0.623994
=1.0101

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(108.596 - 0 - 74.921) / 1602.649
=0.021012

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jia Yao Holdings has a M-score of -1.77 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Jia Yao Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Jia Yao Holdings (HKSE:01626) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 6 Qingdao Road, Dongshan Economic Developing District, Hubei Province, Yichang, CHN
Jia Yao Holdings Ltd is involved in the business of design, printing and sales of paper cigarette packages and social product paper packages. The segments of the group are Paper cigarette packages; Social product paper packages; Electronic cigarettes and Trading goods. It derives key revenue from the Paper cigarette packages segment which involves the design, printing and sale of paper cigarette packages. The company manufactures various types of paper cigarette packages for customers, which can be broadly divided into Hard and soft cigarette packets; Cigarette cartons; and Gift sets designed to pack and carry various sets of cigarette packets. Social product paper packages segment involves the design, printing and sale of packages for alcohol, medicines and food, among others.

Jia Yao Holdings (HKSE:01626) Headlines

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