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MMG (HKSE:01208) Beneish M-Score : -2.56 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is MMG Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MMG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01208' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -2.88   Max: -1.35
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MMG was -1.35. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.88.


MMG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for MMG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MMG Beneish M-Score Chart

MMG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -2.57 -3.62 -1.51 -2.56

MMG Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.62 - -1.51 - -2.56

Competitive Comparison of MMG's Beneish M-Score

For the Copper subindustry, MMG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MMG's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, MMG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MMG's Beneish M-Score falls into.



MMG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MMG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1361+0.528 * 1.4743+0.404 * 0.8145+0.892 * 1.3398+0.115 * 0.8539
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7766+4.679 * -0.154687-0.327 * 0.9561
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$2,945 Mil.
Revenue was HK$33,945 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8,745 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$10,895 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$92,943 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$74,468 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$7,265 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,110 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$17,191 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$27,345 Mil.
Net Income was HK$70 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$14,447 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$1,935 Mil.
Revenue was HK$25,335 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$9,623 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$12,923 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$97,594 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$74,900 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6,151 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,067 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$15,223 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$33,687 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2945.076 / 33945.296) / (1934.672 / 25335.249)
=0.086759 / 0.076363
=1.1361

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9622.754 / 25335.249) / (8745.414 / 33945.296)
=0.379817 / 0.257633
=1.4743

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10895.452 + 74468.005) / 92942.868) / (1 - (12922.985 + 74900.219) / 97593.882)
=0.081549 / 0.100116
=0.8145

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33945.296 / 25335.249
=1.3398

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6151.245 / (6151.245 + 74900.219)) / (7264.676 / (7264.676 + 74468.005))
=0.075893 / 0.088883
=0.8539

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1109.773 / 33945.296) / (1066.6 / 25335.249)
=0.032693 / 0.042099
=0.7766

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27345.234 + 17190.932) / 92942.868) / ((33687.426 + 15222.793) / 97593.882)
=0.479178 / 0.501161
=0.9561

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(70.288 - 0 - 14447.349) / 92942.868
=-0.154687

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MMG has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


MMG (HKSE:01208) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
79 Chatham Road South, Unit 1208, 12th Floor, China Minmetals Tower, Tsimshatsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
MMG Ltd is engaged in the exploration, development, and mining of zinc, copper, gold, silver, and lead deposits around the world. The group has five reportable operating segments namely Dugald River, Kinsevere, Rosebery, Las Bambas, and others. Las Bambas mine is an open-pit, scalable, long-life copper and molybdenum mining operation; Kinsevere is an open-pit copper mining operation located in the Haut-Katanga Province; Dugald River mine is an underground zinc mining operation located near Cloncurry in North West Queensland; Rosebery is an underground polymetallic base metal mining operation located on Tasmania's west coast; and Other Includes corporate entities in the Group. The majority is from the Las Bambas segment. The key revenue by metal is derived from Copper.

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