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Rumo (BSP:RAIL3) Beneish M-Score : -3.05 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Rumo Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rumo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:RAIL3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.77   Max: -1.16
Current: -3.05

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Rumo was -1.16. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.77.


Rumo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rumo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rumo Beneish M-Score Chart

Rumo Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.06 -2.61 -2.69 -2.74 -3.05

Rumo Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.82 -3.04 -2.97 -3.05

Competitive Comparison of Rumo's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Rumo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rumo's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Rumo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rumo's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Rumo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Rumo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8768+0.528 * 0.853+0.404 * 0.9897+0.892 * 1.1114+0.115 * 0.982
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0826+4.679 * -0.096085-0.327 * 1.0143
=-3.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$597 Mil.
Revenue was 2615.704 + 3175.072 + 2763.112 + 2383.828 = R$10,938 Mil.
Gross Profit was 809.728 + 1437.549 + 1071.774 + 780.233 = R$4,099 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$10,252 Mil.
Total Assets was R$49,238 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$26,880 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,176 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$601 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$5,478 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$23,820 Mil.
Net Income was -1.447 + 480.678 + 167.284 + 73.393 = R$720 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1104.772 + 1756.633 + 1652.805 + 936.786 = R$5,451 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$613 Mil.
Revenue was 2219.916 + 2950.6 + 2464.63 + 2206.362 = R$9,842 Mil.
Gross Profit was 585.228 + 1121.585 + 807.048 + 632.499 = R$3,146 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,755 Mil.
Total Assets was R$45,952 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$24,781 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$1,967 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$499 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$5,690 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$21,266 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(597.054 / 10937.716) / (612.693 / 9841.508)
=0.054587 / 0.062256
=0.8768

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3146.36 / 9841.508) / (4099.284 / 10937.716)
=0.319703 / 0.374784
=0.853

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10251.83 + 26880.14) / 49238.436) / (1 - (9754.895 + 24781.472) / 45951.745)
=0.245874 / 0.248421
=0.9897

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10937.716 / 9841.508
=1.1114

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1966.945 / (1966.945 + 24781.472)) / (2175.834 / (2175.834 + 26880.14))
=0.073535 / 0.074884
=0.982

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(600.63 / 10937.716) / (499.193 / 9841.508)
=0.054914 / 0.050723
=1.0826

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23819.76 + 5477.537) / 49238.436) / ((21266.326 + 5690.421) / 45951.745)
=0.595009 / 0.586632
=1.0143

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(719.908 - 0 - 5450.996) / 49238.436
=-0.096085

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Rumo has a M-score of -3.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Rumo (BSP:RAIL3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Rua Emilio Bertolini, 100, Oficinas, Curitiba, PR, BRA, 82920-030
Rumo SA is a logistics provider operating in Brazil. The company provides services to export commodities, providing an integrated transport solution, handling, storage and shipment from the production centres to the main southern and southeast ports. Its operating segment includes North Operations; South Operations, and Container Operations. The company generates maximum revenue from the North Operations segment. The company's revenue consists of rail freight services, road freight, transport containers, storage and transhipment, and port lifting.

Rumo (BSP:RAIL3) Headlines

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